Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39843546›Full record

ArticleMolecular psychiatry2025

Longitudinal evolution of the transdiagnostic prodrome to severe mental disorders: a dynamic temporal network analysis informed by natural language processing and electronic health records.

Maite Arribas, Joseph M Barnby, Rashmi Patel, Robert A McCutcheon, Daisy Kornblum, Hitesh Shetty, Kamil Krakowski, Daniel Stahl, Nikolaos Koutsouleris, Philip McGuire and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Molecular psychiatry, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Linking spontaneous speech, cognition, and psychopathology across affective and psychotic disorders: A network approach.European psychiatry : the journal of the Association of European Psychiatrists · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Maite ArribasEarly Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-Detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK. maite.arribas@kcl.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-0182-3493
Joseph M BarnbySocial Computation and Cognitive Representation (SoCCR) Lab, Department of Psychology, Royal Holloway, University of London, London, UK.
Rashmi PatelDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9259-8788
Robert A McCutcheonDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1102-2566
Daisy KornblumNIHR Maudsley Biomedical Research Centre, London, UK.
Hitesh ShettyNIHR Maudsley Biomedical Research Centre, London, UK.
Kamil KrakowskiEarly Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-Detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
Daniel StahlNIHR Maudsley Biomedical Research Centre, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7987-6619
Nikolaos KoutsoulerisDepartment of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.
Philip McGuireDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-4381-0532
Paolo Fusar-PoliEarly Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-Detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3582-6788
Dominic OliverEarly Psychosis: Interventions and Clinical-Detection (EPIC) Lab, Department of Psychosis Studies, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8920-3407

Funding

RCUK | Medical Research Council (MRC) MR/N013700/1RCUK | Medical Research Council (MRC) MR/S003118/1Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust (Wellcome) 224625/Z/21/ZWellcome Trust (Wellcome) WT228268/Z/23/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Modelling the prodrome to severe mental disorders (SMD), including unipolar mood disorders (UMD), bipolar mood disorders (BMD) and psychotic disorders (PSY), should consider both the evolution and interactions of symptoms and substance use (prodromal features) over time. Temporal network analysis can detect causal dependence between and within prodromal features by representing prodromal features as nodes, with their connections (edges) indicating the likelihood of one feature preceding the other. In SMD, node centrality could reveal insights into important prodromal features and potential intervention targets. Community analysis can identify commonly occurring feature groups to define SMD at-risk states. This retrospective (2-year) cohort study aimed to develop a global transdiagnostic SMD network of the temporal relationships between prodromal features and to examine within-group differences with sub-networks specific to UMD, BMD and PSY. Electronic health records (EHRs) from South London and Maudsley (SLaM) NHS Foundation Trust were included from 6462 individuals with SMD diagnoses (UMD:2066; BMD:740; PSY:3656). Validated natural language processing algorithms extracted the occurrence of 61 prodromal features every three months from two years to six months before SMD onset. Temporal networks of prodromal features were constructed using generalised vector autoregression panel analysis, adjusting for covariates. Edge weights (partial directed correlation coefficients, z) were reported in autocorrelative, unidirectional and bidirectional relationships. Centrality was calculated as the sum of (non-autoregressive) connections leaving (out-centrality, c

Indexed as

Mental DisordersProdromal SymptomsAdultBipolar DisorderCohort StudiesElectronic Health RecordsFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedMood DisordersNatural Language ProcessingPsychotic DisordersRetrospective Studies

Identifiers

PMID39843546
PMCPMC12185326

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.