ArticleEnvironmental toxicology and chemistry2025
Observational studies on per- and polyfluoroalkyl substance toxicity in marine species: hints for the extrapolation of a screening value.
Article in Environmental toxicology and chemistry, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
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Abstract
A statistical procedure has been developed to derive a screening value from an observational study related to the developmental toxicity observed in loggerhead turtle (Caretta caretta) eggs exposed to long chain per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS). A dataset of 41 nests in which the hatching rate was inversely correlated with the increase in the PFAS concentration in unhatched eggs was processed via a categorical regression approach. After outliers identification and removal, categorical regression analysis tested the relationships of the outcomes with the following parameters: perfluoro-nonanoic (PFNA), decanoic (PFDA), undecanoic (PFUdA), and dodecanoic (PFDoA) acids; perfluoroctansulfonate (PFOS); polychlorobiphenyls (PCBs) 28, 52, 101, 138, 153, 180; lead (Pb), total mercury (Hgtot), and cadmium (Cd); and other factors, such as "nest site," "clutch size," "incubation duration," and "nest minimum depth," as confounders/modifiers of the hatching rate. Among considered contaminants, PFOS, PFDA, and PFNA only were significant (p ˂ 0.05), as were "nest site," "clutch size," and "incubation duration," confirming their possible role in decreasing the hatching rate of sea turtle eggs. According to a chemical-specific visual strategy, PFOS only showed a typical monotonic dose/response curve, which allowed the identification of provisional hypothetical thresholds of PFOS, 1,386 (CI95 = 1,080-1,692) ng/kg, corresponding to average hatching rates of 93.3% (CI95 = 91.4%-95.2%). Our preliminary results indicate the feasibility of the extrapolation of a screening value from observational studies under the following requirements: (a) individuation of most influencing factors for the outcome; (b) datasets referred to baseline contamination; (c) selection of undisturbed nests; (d) appropriate statistical multivariate methodology. This work aims to contribute to the New Approach Methods (NAMs) to assess PFAS early-stage embriotoxicity in marine biota.
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