Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39839680›Full record

ArticleVirus evolution2025

Geographic origin and evolution of dengue virus serotypes 1 and 3 circulating in Africa.

Sindiso Nyathi, Izabela M Rezende, Katharine S Walter, Panpim Thongsripong, Francis Mutuku, Bryson Ndenga, Joel O Mbakaya, Gladys Agola, David M Vu, Shannon Bennett and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Virus evolution, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Sindiso NyathiDepartment of Epidemiology and Population Health, Stanford University School of Medicine, 300 Pasteur Drive, Stanford, CA 94305, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2040-2835
Izabela M RezendeDivision of Infectious Diseases and Geographic Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, 300 Pasteur Drive, Stanford, CA 94305, United States.
Katharine S WalterDivision of Epidemiology, University of Utah, 295 Chipeta Way, Salt Lake City, UT 84108, United States.
Panpim ThongsripongFlorida Medical Entomology Laboratory, Institute of Food and Agricultural Sciences, University of Florida, 200 9th St SE, Vero Beach, FL 32962, United States.
Francis MutukuDepartment of Environmental and Health Sciences, Technical University of Mombasa, Mombasa, Kenya.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9000-7008
Bryson NdengaCenter for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute, P.O. Box: 1578 - 40100, Kisumu, Kenya.
Joel O MbakayaCenter for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute, P.O. Box: 1578 - 40100, Kisumu, Kenya.
Gladys AgolaCenter for Global Health Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute, P.O. Box: 1578 - 40100, Kisumu, Kenya.
David M VuDepartment of Pediatrics, Division of Infectious Diseases, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford University, 730 Welch Road, Stanford, CA 94305, United States.
Shannon BennettDepartment of Microbiology, California Academy of Sciences, 55 Music Concourse Drive, San Francisco, CA 94118, United States.
Erin A MordecaiDepartment of Biology, Stanford University, 371 Jane Stanford Way, Stanford, CA 94305, United States.
Jason R AndrewsDivision of Infectious Diseases and Geographic Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, 300 Pasteur Drive, Stanford, CA 94305, United States.
A Desiree LaBeaudDepartment of Epidemiology and Population Health, Stanford University School of Medicine, 300 Pasteur Drive, Stanford, CA 94305, United States.

Funding

The child health impacts of overlapping vector-borne diseases in KenyaR01AI102918 · NIAID · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI Angelle Desiree LaBeaud · 2013 to 2026
$7.7M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI102918
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Despite the increasing burden of dengue in Kenya and Africa, the introduction and expansion of the virus in the region remain poorly understood. The objective of this study is to examine the genetic diversity and evolutionary histories of dengue virus (DENV) serotypes 1 and 3 in Kenya and contextualize their circulation within circulation dynamics in the broader African region. Viral RNA was extracted from samples collected from a cohort of febrile patients recruited at clinical sites in Kenya from 2013 to 2022. Samples were tested by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) for DENV presence. Five DENV-positive samples were serotyped, and complete viral genomes for phylogenetic inference were obtained via sequencing on Illumina platforms. Sequences generated in our study were combined with global datasets of sequences, and Bayesian and maximum likelihood methods were used to infer phylogenetic trees and geographic patterns of spread with a focus on Kenya and Africa as a whole. Four new DENV-1 and one new DENV-3 genomes were successfully sequenced and combined with 328 DENV-1 and 395 DENV-3 genomes from elsewhere for phylogenetic analyses. The DENV-1 sequences from our study formed a monophyletic cluster with an inferred common ancestor in 2019 (most recent common ancestor 2019 and 95% high posterior density 2018-19), which was closely related to sequences from Tanzania. The single DENV-3 sequence clustered with sequences from Tanzania and Kenya, was collected between 2017 and 2019 and was related to recent outbreaks in the region. Phylogenetic trees resolved multiple clades of DENV-1 and DENV-3 concurrently circulating in Africa, introduced in the early-to mid-2000s. Three DENV-1 and four DENV-3 clades are highlighted, introduced between 2000 and 2015. Phylogeographic models suggest frequent, independent importations of DENV lineages into Kenya and Africa from East and South-East Asia via distinct geographic pathways. DENV-1 and DENV-3 evolutionary dynamics in Africa are characterized by the cocirculation of multiple recently introduced lineages. Circulating lineages are introduced via distinct geographic pathways that may be centered around regional nexus locations. Increased surveillance is required to identify key regional locations that drive spread, and dengue interventions should focus on interrupting spread at these locations.

Indexed as

Africaarbovirusesdengue virusKenyaphylogeographyspread

Identifiers

PMID39839680
PMCPMC11749777

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.