Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39838552›Full record

ArticleInfluenza and other respiratory viruses2025

Assessing the Impact of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions During the COVID-19 Pandemic on RSV Seasonality in Europe.

Susanne Heemskerk, Christos Baliatsas, Foekje Stelma, Harish Nair, John Paget, Peter Spreeuwenberg

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Article in Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Susanne HeemskerkNivel - Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research, Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID 0009-0007-7267-0897
Christos BaliatsasNivel - Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research, Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-9737-1224
Foekje StelmaNivel - Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Harish NairCentre for Global Health, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
John PagetNivel - Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research, Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-1503-2481
Peter SpreeuwenbergNivel - Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research, Utrecht, The Netherlands.

Funding

Innovative Medicines Initiative 101034339
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDuring the COVID-19 pandemic, atypical respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) circulation patterns emerged, with the occurrence of RSV activity outside the typical winter season. This study investigates the impact of COVID-19 and associated non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) on RSV seasonality.

methodsThe onset, offset and peak of RSV epidemics from 2018 to 2022 across 12 European countries were determined using the 3% positivity threshold method. A multilevel longitudinal logit regression model for proportions assessed the associations between five NPIs (school closures, mask use, workplace measures, public gathering restrictions and closure of public spaces) and RSV, utilising RSV surveillance data, two NPI databases (ECDC-JRC and Oxford) and COVID-19 surveillance data.

resultsBefore 2020, consistent RSV seasonality patterns were observed, but the seasonal increase of RSV-positive cases in winter remained absent during the COVID-19 pandemic (2020-2022). Analysis revealed inconsistent associations between individual NPIs and RSV. The associations differed depending on the data source used (ECDC-JRC or Oxford), not only in magnitude but also in the direction of the coefficients. Public gathering restrictions and closure of public spaces exhibited significant negative associations with RSV incidence. However, this was only observed when using surveillance data for the entire epidemiological year and not when only examining weeks with increased RSV activity.

conclusionsThis study highlights the need for standardised international data collection and procedures for infectious disease modelling, as varying NPI implementations, NPI registration and RSV surveillance across countries complicate the understanding of RSV dynamics during the pandemic. Caution is recommended when interpreting the effects of NPIs on RSV circulation.

Indexed as

COVID-19Respiratory Syncytial Virus InfectionsEuropeHumansPandemicsRespiratory Syncytial Virus, HumanSARS-CoV-2Seasonsepidemiologynon‐pharmaceutical interventionspandemicpublic healthRSVseasonality

Identifiers

PMID39838552
PMCPMC11750802

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.