Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39838518›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2025

Revealing trends in measles immunity during periods of varying measles circulation in Madagascar.

Arthur Menezes, James A Hay, Richter Razafindratsimandresy, Andriamasina Herivelo Randriamanantena, Luojun Yang, Jean-Michel Héraud, Simon Cauchemez, Amy Wesolowski, Bryan Grenfell, Andrea L Graham and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Arthur MenezesDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-0195-4071
James A HayBig Data Institute, Li Ka Shing Centre for Health Information and Discovery, Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford OX3 7LF, United Kingdom.
Richter RazafindratsimandresyVirology Unit, Institut Pasteur de Madagascar, Antananarivo 101, Madagascar.
Andriamasina Herivelo RandriamanantenaVirology Unit, Institut Pasteur de Madagascar, Antananarivo 101, Madagascar.
Luojun Yang
Jean-Michel HéraudVirology Unit, Institut Pasteur de Madagascar, Antananarivo 101, Madagascar.
Simon CauchemezMathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, Université Paris Cité, UMR 2000, CNRS, 75015 Paris Cedex 15, France.
Amy WesolowskiDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD 21205, United States.
Bryan GrenfellDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540, United States.
Andrea L GrahamDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540, United States.
C Jessica E MetcalfDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540, United States.

Funding

Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation OPP1094793Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 106866/Z/15/ZWellcome Trust Early Career Award 225001/Z/22/ZWorld Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Estimating the durability of immunity from vaccination is complicated by unreported revaccination and unobserved natural infection or reexposure, which could result in overestimation of protection longevity. We tested serial, cross-sectional serum samples from 2005 to 2015 (n = 2530) for immunoglobulin G (IgG) to examine measles seroprevalence, spatiotemporal patterns of titers across regions, and antibody dynamics among children aged 1-9 years who grew up during varying measles circulation in Madagascar under a 1-dose vaccination schedule. We found that measles seroprevalence generally decreased over this period. Furthermore, we conducted 2 nested serological surveys, analyzing 393 samples taken in 2005 (n = 158), a time point preceded by high levels of measles circulation, and 2015 (n = 235), a time point preceded by low levels of measles circulation. Among children alive during periods of limited measles circulation, we found lower measles seroprevalence in all age groups and lower antibody titers in children aged 7-9 years old. Notably, titers among children aged 7-9 dipped near the threshold of protection, highlighting the importance of additional measles vaccine doses. Our findings suggest vulnerabilities might emerge during periods of limited measles circulation for countries with a 1-dose schedule, due to both the buildup of susceptible individuals and waning titers.

Indexed as

MeaslesMeasles VaccineAntibodies, ViralChildChild, PreschoolCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleHumansImmunoglobulin GInfantMadagascarMaleSeroepidemiologic StudiesVaccinationAntibodies, ViralImmunoglobulin GMeasles Vaccinemeaslesserological surveyserosurvey

Identifiers

PMID39838518
PMCPMC12671958

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.