Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39837951›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Time series forecasting of bed occupancy in mental health facilities in India using machine learning.

G Avinash, Hariom Pachori, Avinash Sharma, SukhDev Mishra

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Forecasting hospital bed occupancy: a time series approach with prophet.BMC medical informatics and decision making · 2026
    Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

G AvinashDepartment of Biostatistics, Division of Health Sciences, ICMR-National Institute of Occupational Health, Ahmedabad, Gujarat, 380016, India.
Hariom PachoriDepartment of Computer and Data Management, Central Institute of Psychiatry, Ranchi, 834006, India.
Avinash SharmaDepartment of Psychiatry, Central Institute of Psychiatry (CIP), Ranchi, 834006, India.
SukhDev MishraDepartment of Biostatistics, Division of Health Sciences, ICMR-National Institute of Occupational Health, Ahmedabad, Gujarat, 380016, India. sd.mishra@gov.in.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Machine learning models are vital for forecasting and optimizing healthcare parameters, especially in the context of rising mental health issues in India and globally. With increasing demand for mental health services, effective resource management, like bed occupancy forecasting, is crucial to ensure proper patient care and reduce the burden on healthcare facilities. This study applies six machine learning models, namely Support Vector Regression, eXtreme Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbors, Gradient Boosting, and Decision Tree, to forecast weekly bed occupancy of the second largest mental hospital in India, using data from 2008 to 2024. Accuracy of models were evaluated using Mean Absolute Percentage Error, and Diebold-Mariano test for assessing differences in predictive performance. Further, we forecast the bed occupancy, providing crucial insights for healthcare administrators in capacity planning and resource allocation, supporting data-driven decisions and enhancing the quality of mental health services in India.

Indexed as

Bed OccupancyHospitals, PsychiatricMachine LearningMental Health ServicesForecastingHumansIndiaBed occupancy forecastingHealthcare resource managementMachine learning in healthcareMental health hospitalPatient care optimizationTime series analysis

Identifiers

PMID39837951
PMCPMC11750970

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.