Insights into the dependence of post-stroke motor recovery on the initial corticospinal tract connectivity from a computational model.

There is a consensus that motor recovery post-stroke primarily depends on the degree of the initial connectivity of the ipsilesional corticospinal tract (CST). Indeed, if the residual CST connectivity is sufficient to convey motor commands, the neuromotor system continues to use the CST predominantly, and motor function recovers up to 80%. In contrast, if the residual CST connectivity is insufficient, hand/arm dexterity barely recovers, even as the phases of stroke progress. Instead, the functional upregulation of the reticulospinal tract (RST) often occurs. In this study, we construct a computational model that reproduces the dependence of post-stroke motor recovery on the initial CST connectivity. The model emulates biologically plausible evolutions of primary motor descending tracts, based on activity-dependent or use-dependent plasticity and the preferential use of more strongly connected neural circuits. The model replicates several elements of the empirical evidence presented by the Fugl-Meyer Assessment (FMA) subscores, which evaluate the capabilities for out-of-synergy and in-synergy movements. These capabilities presumably change differently depending on the degree of the initial CST connectivity post-stroke, providing insights into the interactive dynamics of the primary descending motor tracts. We discuss findings derived from the proposed model in relation to the well-known proportional recovery rule. This modeling study aims to present a way to differentiate individuals who can achieve 70 to 80% recovery in the chronic phase from those who cannot by examining the interactive evolution of out-of-synergy and in-synergy movement capabilities during the subacute phase, as assessed by the FMA.