Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39833401›Full record

ArticleJournal of epidemiology and global health2025

Assessing the Colorectal Cancer Landscape: A Comprehensive Exploration of Future Trends in 216 Countries and Territories from 2021 to 2040.

Meysam Olfatifar, Fariba Rafiei, Amir Sadeghi, Elnaz Ataei, Mohammad Amin Habibi, Mehdi Pezeshgi Modarres, Zohreh Ghalavand, Hamidreza Houri

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of epidemiology and global health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. A β‑1,3‑1,6‑glucan fromMolecular medicine reports · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Review
  19. Review
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Meysam OlfatifarGastroenterology and Hepatology Diseases Research Center, Qom University of Medical Sciences, Qom, Iran.
Fariba RafieiFoodborne and Waterborne Diseases Research Center, Research Institute for Gastroenterology and Liver Diseases, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Shahid Arabi Ave., Yemen St., Velenjak, P.O. BOX: 1985717411, Tehran, Iran.
Amir SadeghiGastroenterology and Liver Diseases Research Center, Research Institute for Gastroenterology and Liver Diseases, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Elnaz AtaeiClinical Research Development Center, Shahid Modarres Educational Hospital, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Mohammad Amin HabibiClinical Research Development Center, Qom University of Medical Sciences, Qom, Iran.
Mehdi Pezeshgi ModarresGastroenterology and Hepatology Diseases Research Center, Qom University of Medical Sciences, Qom, Iran.
Zohreh GhalavandDepartment of Microbiology, School of Medicine, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Hamidreza HouriFoodborne and Waterborne Diseases Research Center, Research Institute for Gastroenterology and Liver Diseases, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Shahid Arabi Ave., Yemen St., Velenjak, P.O. BOX: 1985717411, Tehran, Iran. hr.houri@sbmu.ac.ir.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundColorectal cancer (CRC) has become a significant global concern, presenting formidable challenges to healthcare systems and leading to substantial healthcare expenses. This study examines the projected prevalence and trends of CRC worldwide, encompassing 21 regions and 195 nations.

methodsWe employed an illness-death model (IDM) in order to forecast the anticipated prevalence of CRC by the year 2040. To accomplish this, we utilized data retrieved from the Global Health Data Exchange (GHDx) query tool spanning from 1990 to 2021. The primary objective of this study is to furnish sex-specific estimations encompassing various geographical regions.

resultsBy 2040, the global age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) of CRC among the total population is projected to rise, reaching 145.82 per 100,000, which reflects an increase of 8.15%. East Asia is forecasted to have the highest ASPR at 330.17 per 100,000, representing a substantial rise of 94.81%. Notably, the most rapid percentage increase is projected in Andean Latin America, with an anticipated rise of 106.2%. In contrast, many countries, particularly in developed nations, are expected to see a decline in ASPR during this period. The United Arab Emirates is projected to experience the most significant decrease in ASPR, at -86.51%, while Mauritius is anticipated to have the largest increase in CRC prevalence rate, at 226.26%. Globally and regionally, the ASPR among males is expected to remain higher than that among females over the next 21 years.

conclusionsThe global prevalence of CRC is increasing, particularly in developing countries, while developed countries are anticipated to observe a declining trend. This highlights the significance of appropriately allocating resources and implementing effective preventive measures, especially in developing nations.

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsGlobal HealthAdultAgedFemaleForecastingHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceAge-standardized prevalenceCancer epidemiologyColorectal cancerIllness-death model

Identifiers

PMID39833401
PMCPMC11753442

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.