Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39832908›Full record

ArticleLupus science & medicine2025

Longitudinal associations of flare and damage accrual in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus.

Rangi Kandane-Rathnayake, Dominique Milea, Worawit Louthrenoo, Alberta Hoi, Vera Golder, Jiacai Cho, Aisha Lateef, Shue-Fen Luo, Yeong-Jian Jan Wu, Laniyati Hamijoyo and 18 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Lupus science & medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

28 authors.

Rangi Kandane-RathnayakeRheumatology Research Group, Centre for Inflammatory Diseases, School of Clinical Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia rangi.kandane-rathnayake@monash.edu.ORCID 0000-0001-5397-1482
Dominique MileaValue, Evidence & Outcomes, GSK, Singapore.
Worawit LouthrenooDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Chiang Mai University Hospital, Chiang Mai, Thailand.
Alberta HoiRheumatology Research Group, Centre for Inflammatory Diseases, School of Clinical Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-9416-7383
Vera GolderRheumatology Research Group, Centre for Inflammatory Diseases, School of Clinical Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia.
Jiacai ChoRheumatology Division, Department of Medicine, National University Hospital, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-4477-3430
Aisha LateefDepartment of Medicine, Woodlands Health, Singapore.
Shue-Fen LuoDivision of Rheumatology, Allergy, and Immunology, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital Linkou Main Branch, Taoyuan, Taiwan.
Yeong-Jian Jan WuDepartment of Rheumatology, Allergy and Immunology, Keelung Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Keelung, Taiwan.
Laniyati HamijoyoDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Padjadjaran University, Bandung, Indonesia.ORCID 0000-0002-1310-674X
Sargunan SockalingamDepartment of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University Malaya Medical Center, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Zhanguo LiDepartment of Rheumatology and Immunology, Peking University People's Hospital, Beijing, China.
Sandra NavarraSection of Rheumatology, University of Santo Tomas Hospital, Manila, Philippines.ORCID 0000-0003-0094-8654
Leonid ZamoraSection of Rheumatology, University of Santo Tomas Hospital, Manila, Philippines.
Masayoshi HarigaiDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Tokyo Women's Medical University School of Medicine, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan.
Yasuhiro KatsumataDivision of Rheumatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Tokyo Women's Medical University School of Medicine, Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0003-1654-0119
Madelynn ChanDepartment of Rheumatology, Allergy & Immunology, Tan Tock Seng Hospital, Singapore.
Yanjie HaoDepartment of Rheumatology, St Vincent's Hospital Melbourne, Fitzroy, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-8715-259X
Zhuoli ZhangRheumatology and Immunology Department, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7219-9141
Sean O'NeillThe University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Fiona GoldblattDepartment of Rheumatology, Flinders Medical Centre, Bedford Park, South Australia, Australia.
Shereen OonDepartment of Rheumatology, St Vincent's Hospital Melbourne, Fitzroy, Victoria, Australia.
Xiaomeng XuValue, Evidence & Outcomes, GSK, Singapore.
Aldo A Navarro RojasMedical Affairs, Greater China & Intercontinental, GSK, Singapore.
Sang-Cheol BaeDepartment of Rheumatology, Hanyang University Hospital for Rheumatic Diseases, Seongdong-gu, Seoul, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-4658-1093
Chak Sing LauDivision of Rheumatology & Clinical Immunology, The University of Hong Kong, Pok Fu Lam, Hong Kong.ORCID 0000-0001-6698-8355
Mandana NikpourDepartment of Rheumatology, St Vincent's Hospital Melbourne, Fitzroy, Victoria, Australia.
Eric MorandRheumatology Research Group, Centre for Inflammatory Diseases, School of Clinical Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-9507-3338

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo estimate the prevalence of organ damage (damage) and flare and to examine longitudinal associations between flares and subsequent damage accrual, in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

methodsPatients enrolled in the Asia Pacific Lupus Collaboration cohort with ≥3 years of prospectively captured data were studied. Flares were assessed at routine visits, while damage ((Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics/American College of Rheumatology) Damage Index) was assessed annually. Multivariable, multifailure survival analyses were carried out to quantify the association between flares and damage accrual.

results1556 patients with SLE with a median (IQR) of 5.7 (3.9, 7.0) years of follow-up were studied. 39.5% (n=614) of patients had damage at enrolment, and 31.9% (n=496) accrued damage during the study observation period. The incidence of damage accrual during observation was ~58/1000 person-years. Overall, 74.1% (n=1153) of patients experienced a flare of any severity (mild/moderate or severe) at least once; 56.9% (n=885) experienced recurrent (≥2) flares. The risk of subsequent damage accrual in patients who experienced mild-to-moderate flare, after controlling for confounders, was 32% greater than in patients without flares (adjusted HR) (95% CI 1.32 (1.17 to 1.72)). The risk of damage accrual was greater if patients had severe flares (HR (95% CI) 1.58 (1.18 to 2.11)). For each additional flare, the risk of damage accrual increased by 7% (HR (95% CI) 1.07 (1.02 to 1.13)).

conclusionsFlares independently increased the risk of damage accrual. Prevention of flares should be considered a necessary goal of SLE disease management to minimise permanent damage.

Indexed as

Lupus Erythematosus, SystemicAdultDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansIncidenceLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceProspective StudiesSeverity of Illness IndexSymptom Flare UpYoung AdultEpidemiologyLupus Erythematosus, SystemicOutcome Assessment, Health Care

Identifiers

PMID39832908
PMCPMC11751792

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.