ArticleInjury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention2026
Spatio-temporal clustering of drowning mortality in Iran, from 2005 to 2022.
Article in Injury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
0 citing papers in PubMed.
No citing paper in PubMed yet.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundDrowning is a serious and neglected public health threat, and prevention of drowning has a multisectoral nature and requires multidimensional research. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the spatio-temporal variation in fatal unintentional drowning rates among the Iranian population from 2005 to 2022.
methodsIn this repeated cross-sectional study, registry data were extracted from legal medicine organisations during 2005-2022. The mortality rate per 1 million population was calculated by gender and province. The joinpoint regression model was fitted to estimate average annual percentage changes and an annual percentage change in the drowning mortality rate. We used spatial scan statistics to detect high-risk clusters of drowning deaths at the provincial level.
resultsOver 17 years 19 547 people died due to unintentional drowning. The highest yearly drowning rate was 15.58 per 1 000 000, and men had the highest rates of death (25.91) compared with women (4.98) in 2019. The overall mortality rate has decreased from 18.69 in 2005 to 12.87 in 2022. In the spatio-temporal analysis, four statistically significant high-risk clusters were detected in the north, southeast and centre of Iran.
conclusionThe overall mortality rate in 2022 decreased compared with the 17-year period. In the spatial analysis, several high-risk clusters were identified in different locations, which highlights the importance of targeted and more comprehensive interventions. It seems that the prevention of drowning requires the effective participation of all responsible organisations and risk reduction plans in the field of environmental and individual risk factors.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.