Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39830898›Full record

ArticleCommunications earth & environment2025

A transdisciplinary, comparative analysis reveals key risks from Arctic permafrost thaw.

Susanna Gartler, Johanna Scheer, Alexandra Meyer, Khaled Abass, Annett Bartsch, Natalia Doloisio, Jade Falardeau, Gustaf Hugelius, Anna Irrgang, Jón Haukur Ingimundarson and 18 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Communications earth & environment, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Towards Operationalizing Ecological Resilience for Infrastructure Decision-Making.Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

28 authors.

Susanna Gartler *Department of Social and Cultural Anthropology, University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria.ORCID 0000-0002-7411-8701
Johanna Scheer *Department of Ecology and Environmental Science, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-7595-507X
Alexandra Meyer *Department of Social and Cultural Anthropology, University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria.ORCID 0000-0003-0753-4569
Khaled AbassDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, College of Health Sciences, University of Sharjah, Sharjah, United Arab Emirates.ORCID 0000-0002-1843-7644
Annett BartschAustrian Polar Research Institute (APRI), Vienna, Austria.ORCID 0000-0002-3737-7931
Natalia DoloisioCEARC Research Center, Université Paris Saclay, Orsay, France.
Jade FalardeauGeotop Research Center in Earth System Dynamics, Département des Sciences de la Terre et de l'Atmosphère, Université du Québec à Montréal, Montréal, QC Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-4773-6731
Gustaf HugeliusDepartment of Physical Geography and Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-8096-1594
Anna IrrgangPermafrost Research Section, Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-8158-9675
Jón Haukur IngimundarsonStefansson Arctic Institute and University of Akureyri, Akureyri, Iceland.
Leneisja JungsbergNordregio, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-1283-5318
Hugues LantuitPermafrost Research Section, Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-1497-6760
Joan Nymand LarsenStefansson Arctic Institute and University of Akureyri, Akureyri, Iceland.ORCID 0000-0001-6207-9939
Rachele LodiInstitute of Polar Sciences, National Research Council, Venice, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-4315-3587
Victoria Sophie MartinAustrian Polar Research Institute (APRI), Vienna, Austria.
Louise MercerDepartment of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Northumbria University, Newcastle, UK.
David NielsenMax Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-4201-0373
Paul OverduinPermafrost Research Section, Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Potsdam, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-9849-4712
Olga PovoroznyukDepartment of Social and Cultural Anthropology, University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria.ORCID 0000-0002-9359-0729
Arja RautioResearch Unit of Biomedicine and Internal Medicine, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland.
Peter SchweitzerDepartment of Social and Cultural Anthropology, University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria.ORCID 0000-0003-1526-1900
Niek Jesse SpeetjensDepartment of Earth Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Soňa TomaškovičováDepartment of Environmental & Resource Engineering, Technical University of Denmark, Kongens Lyngby, Denmark.
Ulla TimlinBiomedicine and Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland.
Jean-Paul VanderlindenLaboratoire CEARC, Paris Saclay University, Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, Guyancourt, France.
Jorien VonkDepartment of Earth Sciences, Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-1206-5878
Levi WesterveldGrid Arendal, Arendal, Norway.
Thomas Ingeman-NielsenDepartment of Environmental & Resource Engineering, Technical University of Denmark, Kongens Lyngby, Denmark.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Permafrost thaw poses diverse risks to Arctic environments and livelihoods. Understanding the effects of permafrost thaw is vital for informed policymaking and adaptation efforts. Here, we present the consolidated findings of a risk analysis spanning four study regions: Longyearbyen (Svalbard, Norway), the Avannaata municipality (Greenland), the Beaufort Sea region and the Mackenzie River Delta (Canada) and the Bulunskiy District of the Sakha Republic (Russia). Local stakeholders' and scientists' perceptions shaped our understanding of the risks as dynamic, socionatural phenomena involving physical processes, key hazards, and societal consequences. Through an inter- and transdisciplinary risk analysis based on multidirectional knowledge exchanges and thematic network analysis, we identified five key hazards of permafrost thaw. These include infrastructure failure, disruption of mobility and supplies, decreased water quality, challenges for food security, and exposure to diseases and contaminants. The study's novelty resides in the comparative approach spanning different disciplines, environmental and societal contexts, and the transdisciplinary synthesis considering various risk perceptions.

Indexed as

AnthropologyEnvironmental social sciencesInterdisciplinary studies

Identifiers

PMID39830898
PMCPMC11738985

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.