Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39830681›Full record

ArticleNPJ climate and atmospheric science2025

Climate change aggravated wildfire behaviour in the Iberian Peninsula in recent years.

Martín Senande-Rivera, Damián Insua-Costa, Gonzalo Miguez-Macho

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ climate and atmospheric science, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Martín Senande-RiveraCRETUS, Non-Linear Physics Group, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-2675-3196
Damián Insua-CostaHydro-Climate Extremes Lab, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0001-9699-2806
Gonzalo Miguez-MachoCRETUS, Non-Linear Physics Group, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-4259-7883

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change is considered to affect wildfire spread both by increasing fuel dryness and by altering vegetation mass and structure. However, the direct effect of global warming on wildfires is hard to quantify due to the multiple non-climatic factors involved in their ignition and spread. By combining wildfire observations with the latest generation of climate models, here we show that more than half of the large wildfires (area>500 ha) occurring in the Iberian Peninsula between 2001 and 2021 present a significant increase in the rate of spread with respect to what it would have been in the pre-industrial period, attributable to global warming. The average acceleration of the rate of spread due to increased fuel dryness is between 2.0% and 8.3%, whereas the influence of enhanced vegetation growth since the pre-industrial period could potentially be even higher than the direct impact of temperature increase in fuel conditions.

Indexed as

AttributionClimate and Earth system modelling

Identifiers

PMID39830681
PMCPMC11735383

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.