Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39828742›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

A hybrid data assimilation method based on real-time Ensemble Kalman filtering and KNN for COVID-19 prediction.

SongTao Zhang, LiHong Yang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
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  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

SongTao ZhangCollege of Mathematical Sciences, Harbin Engineering University, Nangang District, Heilongjiang, Harbin, 150001, China.
LiHong YangCollege of Mathematical Sciences, Harbin Engineering University, Nangang District, Heilongjiang, Harbin, 150001, China. lihongyang@hrbeu.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study introduces a hybrid data assimilation method that significantly improves the predictive accuracy of the time-dependent Susceptible-Exposed-Asymptomatic-Infected-Quarantined-Removed (SEAIQR) model for epidemic forecasting. The approach integrates real-time Ensemble Kalman Filtering (EnKF) with the K-Nearest Neighbors (KNN) algorithm, combining dynamic real-time adjustments with pattern recognition techniques tailored to the specific dynamics of epidemics. This hybrid methodology overcomes the limitations of single-model predictions in the face of increasingly complex transmission pathways in modern society. Numerical experiments conducted using COVID-19 case data from Xi'an, Shaanxi Province, China (December 9, 2021, to January 8, 2022) demonstrate a marked improvement in forecasting accuracy relative to traditional models and other data assimilation approaches. These findings underscore the potential of the proposed method to enhance the accuracy and reliability of predictive models, providing valuable insights for future epidemic forecasting and disease control strategies.

Indexed as

COVID-19AlgorithmsChinaForecastingHumansSARS-CoV-2COVID-19 ForecastingEnKFHybrid Data AssimilationKNN

Identifiers

PMID39828742
PMCPMC11743786

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.