Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39828613›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2025

Natural History of Clostridioides difficile-Related Disease Progression in the 2-Step Testing Era.

Nicholas A Turner, Steven C Grambow, Chris Polage, David T Kuhar, Preeta K Kutty, Rebekah W Moehring, Deverick J Anderson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Risk factors for progression fromInfection control and hospital epidemiology · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Nicholas A TurnerDivision of Infectious Diseases, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0650-4894
Steven C GrambowDepartment of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Durham, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6037-3253
Chris PolageDuke Clinical Microbiology Laboratory, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
David T KuharDivision of Healthcare Quality Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Preeta K KuttyDivision of Healthcare Quality Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Rebekah W MoehringDivision of Infectious Diseases, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7741-6029
Deverick J AndersonDivision of Infectious Diseases, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6882-5496

Funding

Intramural CDC HHS CC999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe natural history of Clostridioides difficile progression in nucleic acid amplification test (NAAT) positive, toxin enzyme immunoassay-negative patients remains poorly described. Better understanding risk for subsequent disease may improve prevention strategies. We aimed to describe the natural history of C. difficile NAAT+/toxin- adults.

methodsA cohort of adults (≥18 years) tested for C. difficile within the Duke University Health System between 15 March 2020 and 31 December 2023 were classified as NAAT-, NAAT+/toxin-, or NAAT+/toxin+ and followed up to 90 days. Three time-to-event analyses were conducted. Incidence of toxin+ episodes was assessed by initial test status (analysis 1). Treatment of NAAT+/toxin- adults was described using cumulative incidence curves (analysis 2). Rates of toxin+ episodes and severe disease were compared between treated and untreated NAAT+/toxin- adults (analysis 3).

resultsThe cohort included 24 474 tests and 440 toxin+ episodes among 18 337 unique subjects followed for a median 71 days. NAAT+/toxin- status was associated with subsequent toxin positivity (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 5.06 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 3.61-7.10]), especially after antibiotic receipt (aHR, 15.71 [95% CI, 9.85-25.06]). Among 2334 NAAT+/toxin- episodes, 33% received presumptive treatment. Just 5% of NAAT+/toxin- subjects progressed to toxin positivity. Presumptive treatment was associated with lower hazard of subsequent toxin positivity (aHR, 0.12 [95% CI, .05-.29]) but not fulminant disease (aHR, 1.93 [95% CI, .50-7.45]).

conclusionsClostridioides difficile NAAT+/toxin- status was associated with subsequent toxin positivity, especially after antibiotic receipt, though absolute risk was low overall. Further research is needed to determine whether and for whom presumptive treatment might be beneficial.

Indexed as

Clostridioides difficileClostridium InfectionsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAnti-Bacterial AgentsBacterial ToxinsCohort StudiesDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedNucleic Acid Amplification TechniquesYoung AdultAnti-Bacterial AgentsBacterial ToxinsClostridioides difficilediagnosticsmultistep testingnatural historytoxin enzyme immunoassay

Identifiers

PMID39828613
PMCPMC12137017

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.