Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39823083›Full record

ArticleClimate resilience and sustainability2025

Detecting Rising Wildfire Risks for South East England.

Vikki Thompson, Dann Mitchell, Nathanael Melia, Hannah Bloomfield, Nick Dunstone, Gillian Kay

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Climate resilience and sustainability, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Vikki ThompsonSchool of Geographical Sciences University of Bristol Bristol UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1650-7354
Dann MitchellSchool of Geographical Sciences University of Bristol Bristol UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0117-3486
Nathanael MeliaClimate Prescience Limited Rotorua New Zealand.
Hannah BloomfieldSchool of Geographical Sciences University of Bristol Bristol UK.
Nick DunstoneMet Office Hadley Centre Met Office Exeter UK.
Gillian KayMet Office Hadley Centre Met Office Exeter UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In July 2022 southeast England experienced a record breaking heatwave and unprecedented wildfires in urban areas. We investigate fire weather trends since 1960 in southeast England using a large ensemble of initialised climate models. Record smashing temperatures coincided with widespread fires in London, and we find that while wildfire risk was high, it was not record breaking. We show that between the 1960s and 2010s annual maximum daily fire weather has increased. The proportion of summertime days with high and very high fire risk has increased-while medium and low risk days have become less common. These findings show the need to mitigate against the increasing risk of wildfire caused by climate change.

Indexed as

climate changelarge ensemble climate modelsUKWildfire

Identifiers

PMID39823083
PMCPMC11737286

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.