Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39822237›Full record

ArticleHealth affairs scholar2025

Coding intensity variation in Medicare Advantage.

Vilsa E Curto, Eran Politzer, Timothy S Anderson, John Z Ayanian, Jeffrey Souza, Alan M Zaslavsky, Bruce E Landon

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Health affairs scholar, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Vilsa E CurtoDepartment of Health Policy and Management, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9947-4094
Eran PolitzerFedermann School of Public Policy and Governance, Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem 9190501, Israel.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9047-7731
Timothy S AndersonDepartment of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA 15261, United States.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5384-275X
John Z AyanianDivision of General Medicine, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, United States.
Jeffrey SouzaDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02115, United States.
Alan M ZaslavskyDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02115, United States.
Bruce E LandonDepartment of Health Care Policy, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02115, United States.

Funding

Tradeoffs in the Design of Public Long-Term Care BenefitsP01AG032952 · NIA · HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL · PI Timothy Layton · 2009 to 2026
$39.0M
Optimizing prescribing decisions for hospitalized older adults with chronic conditionsK76AG074878 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI Timothy S Anderson · 2022 to 2026
$1.2M
Private Medicare Plans and Health Outcomes for Older AdultsK01AG073583 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI CURTO, VILSA ELIANA · 2021 to 2025
$604k
NIA NIH HHS K01 AG073583NIA NIH HHS K76 AG074878NIA NIH HHS P01 AG032952
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Enrollment in Medicare Advantage (MA) plans rose to over 50% of eligible Medicare patients in 2023. Payments to MA plans incorporate risk scores that are largely based on patient diagnoses from the prior year, which incentivizes MA plans to code diagnoses more intensively. We estimated coding inflation rates for individual MA contracts using a method that allows for differential selection into contracts based on patient health. We illustrate the method using data on MA risk scores and health conditions from the most recent year available, 2014. This approach could also be used beginning in 2022, when Medicare transitioned to MA risk scores based on MA Encounter records. Several existing methods assess coding intensity, but this study's approach is novel in its use of plan-level mortality rates to infer plan-level coding intensity. We found an enrollment-weighted mean coding inflation rate of 8.4%, with rates ranging from 3.4% to 12.7% for the largest 8 MA insurers and from 1.1% to 22.2% for the largest 20 MA contracts in 2014. We found higher coding intensity for health plans that were HMOs, provider-owned, large, older, or had high star ratings. Approximately 68.1% of MA enrollees were in contracts with coding inflation rates larger than Medicare's coding intensity adjustment.

Indexed as

coding intensityMedicare Advantageupcoding

Identifiers

PMID39822237
PMCPMC11736778

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.