ArticleNature communications2025
Changes in event soil moisture-temperature coupling can intensify very extreme heat beyond expectations.
Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
8 citing papers in PubMed.
- Vulnerability to high temperature shapes global warming impacts on rice yield.Science advances · 2026Article
- Asymmetric temperature responses to soil moisture drought legacies under anthropogenic forcing.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Article
- Transcriptome-based investigation of the response and repair mechanisms in the photosynthetic system of Cycas panzhihuaensis under dual high-temperature and drought stress.BMC plant biology · 2026Article
- Rangewide responses of Mimulus cardinalis to an extreme heat event.American journal of botany · 2026Article
- The Escalating Threat of Heatwaves in Central Asia: Climate Change Impacts and Public Health Risks.Global challenges (Hoboken, NJ) · 2025Article
- Increasing central and northern European summer heatwave intensity due to forced changes in internal variability.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Heat stress and soil thermal gradients shape root-associated fungal community recruitment.Frontiers in microbiology · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The most disastrous heatwaves are very extreme events with return periods of hundreds of years, but traditionally, climate research has focussed on moderate extreme events occurring every couple of years or even several times within a year. Here, we use three Earth System Model large ensembles to assess whether very extreme heat events respond differently to global warming than moderate extreme events. We find that the warming signal of very extreme heat can be amplified or dampened substantially compared to moderate extremes. This modulation is detectable already in mid-century projections. In the mid-latitudes, it can be explained by changes in event soil moisture-temperature coupling during the hottest day of the year. The changes depend on the interplay of present soil moisture and coupling during heat events as well as projected precipitation changes. This mechanism is robust across models, albeit with large spatial uncertainties. Our findings are highly relevant for climate risk assessments and adaptation planning.
Identifiers
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Registered trials
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