Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39815234›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2025

Chronic and infectious respiratory mortality and short-term exposures to four types of pollen taxa in older adults in Michigan, 2006-2017.

Peter S Larson, Allison L Steiner, Marie S O'Neill, Alan P Baptist, Carina J Gronlund

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Peter S LarsonSocial Environment and Health Program, Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan, 426 Thompson St., Ann Arbor, MI, 48104, USA. anfangen@umich.edu.
Allison L SteinerClimate and Space Sciences and Engineering, University of Michigan, 2455 Hayward St., Ann Arbor, MI, 48109, USA.
Marie S O'NeillDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, 123 Observatory, Ann Arbor, MI, 48104, USA.
Alan P BaptistDivision of Allergy and Clinical Immunology, Henry Ford Health, 1 Ford Place, Detroit, MI, 48202, USA.
Carina J GronlundSocial Environment and Health Program, Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan, 426 Thompson St., Ann Arbor, MI, 48104, USA.

Funding

Strategic Vision & Impact on Environmental HealthP30ES017885 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Dana Dolinoy · 2011 to 2026
$21.3M
Assessing the Neuropsychological Benefits of Weatherization ProgramsR01ES032157 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Carina Gronlund · 2021 to 2026
$3.0M
Causal Mechanisms for Sustainable Adaptation to Adverse Heat and Precipitation Health EffectsR00ES026198 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI GRONLUND, CARINA · 2019 to 2021
$732k
National Institute for Environmental Health Sciences P30ES017885 and R00ES026198NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES017885NIEHS NIH HHS R00 ES026198NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES032157NIOSH CDC HHS T42 OH 008455NIOSH CDC HHS T42 OH008455
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionLevels of plant-based aeroallergens are rising as growing seasons lengthen and intensify with anthropogenic climate change. Increased exposure to pollens could increase risk for mortality from respiratory causes, particularly among older adults. We determined short-term, lag associations of four species classes of pollen (ragweed, deciduous trees, grass pollen and evergreen trees) with respiratory mortality (all cause, chronic and infectious related) in Michigan, USA.

methodsWe obtained records for all Michigan deaths from 2006-2017 from the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services (MDHHS). Deaths from infectious and chronic respiratory-related causes were selected using International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10) codes. Pollen data were obtained from a prognostic model of daily pollen concentrations at 25 km resolution. Case-crossover models with distributed lag non-linear crossbases for pollen were used to estimate associations between lags of daily pollen concentrations with mortality and to explore effect modification by sex and racial groups.

results127,163 deaths were included in the study. Cumulative daily high concentrations (90th percentile) of deciduous broadleaf, grass and ragweed were associated with all-cause respiratory mortality at early lags with e.g., a 1.81 times higher risk of all respiratory deaths at cumulative 7 day lag exposure to deciduous broadleaf pollen at the 90th percentile (95% confidence interval: 1.04, 3.15). Exposure to high concentrations of grass and ragweed pollens was associated with increased risk for death from chronic respiratory causes. No association was found for any pollen species with death from infectious respiratory causes though there was a positive but non-significant association of exposure to deciduous broadleaf and ragweed pollens. We found no evidence to suggest effect modification by race or sex.

conclusionsModelled exposures to high concentrations of pollen taxa were associated with increased all-cause and chronic respiratory mortality among older adults. Results suggest that pollen exposure may become more important to respiratory mortality as the temperatures increase and pollen seasons lengthen.

Indexed as

AllergensEnvironmental ExposurePollenRespiratory Tract DiseasesRespiratory Tract InfectionsAgedAged, 80 and overChronic DiseaseFemaleHumansMaleMichiganMiddle AgedAllergensEnvironmental healthPollenRespiratory healthRespiratory mortality

Identifiers

PMID39815234
PMCPMC11737261

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.