Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39810136›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2025

Adjustment of the Framingham index by abdominal aortic calcification scores enables a more accurate prediction of long-term cardiac events in general population aged 40 years and above: evidence from NHANES 2013-2014.

Xiao-Jun Liu, Li Wang, Li-Sha Zhang, Li-Fei Cao, Zhao-Fei Wan, Jia-Hong Xue, Yan-Ru He, Xin-Hong Wang, Xiao-Fang Bai

Abstract read
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Article in BMC public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

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2citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Xiao-Jun LiuDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital of Medical College, Xi'an Jiao tong University, No.157 West 5th Road, Xincheng District, Xi'an, 710004, Shaanxi, China.
Li WangDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital of Medical College, Xi'an Jiao tong University, No.157 West 5th Road, Xincheng District, Xi'an, 710004, Shaanxi, China.
Li-Sha ZhangDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital of Medical College, Xi'an Jiao tong University, No.157 West 5th Road, Xincheng District, Xi'an, 710004, Shaanxi, China.
Li-Fei CaoDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital of Medical College, Xi'an Jiao tong University, No.157 West 5th Road, Xincheng District, Xi'an, 710004, Shaanxi, China.
Zhao-Fei WanDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital of Medical College, Xi'an Jiao tong University, No.157 West 5th Road, Xincheng District, Xi'an, 710004, Shaanxi, China.
Jia-Hong XueDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital of Medical College, Xi'an Jiao tong University, No.157 West 5th Road, Xincheng District, Xi'an, 710004, Shaanxi, China. xjh1224@163.com.
Yan-Ru HeDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital of Medical College, Xi'an Jiao tong University, No.157 West 5th Road, Xincheng District, Xi'an, 710004, Shaanxi, China.
Xin-Hong WangDepartment of Cardiovascular Medicine, Second Affiliated Hospital of Medical College, Xi'an Jiao tong University, No.157 West 5th Road, Xincheng District, Xi'an, 710004, Shaanxi, China.
Xiao-Fang BaiDepartment of Medical Ultrasonics, First Affiliated Hospital of Medical College, Xi'an Jiao tong University, No.277 Yanta West Road, Xi'an, 710061, Shaanxi, China. liuxjchina@163.com.

Funding

the National Natural Science Foundation of China NO.82360608The Natural Science Funds of Shaanxi Province No. 2021JM-289The Natural Science Funds of Shaanxi Province No.2024JC-YBQN-0797
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAbdominal aortic calcification (AAC) is considered as a strong predictor of cardiovascular disease (CVD) events. Our study aimed to investigate whether the predicted risk for cardiac death with the Framingham risk score (FRS) could be further improved with the addition of AAC score in general population aged ≥ 40 years.

methodsA total of 2971 participants aged ≥ 40 years in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES) 2013-2014 were followed up. The Spearman's rank correlation was performed to explore the correlation between the AAC score and FRS. the Kaplan-Meier method was used to make cumulative cardiac death curve. Predictors of cardiac death was identified by multivariate Cox regression. Additionally, the predictive value of FRS alone and combined with AAC score was estimated by comparing the area under the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and calculating Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI).

resultsDuring a median of 70.50 months (interquartile range 58.43-82.57 months), 49 (1.649%) experienced cardiac death in the follow-up. The FRS was positively associated with AAC score. Both FRS and AAC score were independent predictors of cardiac death (hazard ratio 1.216; 95%CI 1.135 to 1.302; p < 0.00001; 1.159; 95%CI 1.109 to 1.211; p < 0.00001; respectively). Furthermore, Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated increased risk of cardiac death with increasing AAC score (log-rank 54.548, p<0.0001). The predictive value of FRS significantly was improved by adding with AAC score [increase in AUC from 0.734 to 0.780, p < 0.0001; IDI = 0.007, p = 0.013 ].

conclusionsAAC score is positively related with Framingham index, and FBS adjusted by AAC score further improved the prediction risk for cardiac death in general population aged ≥ 40 years.

Indexed as

Aorta, AbdominalAortic DiseasesCardiovascular DiseasesVascular CalcificationAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNutrition SurveysPredictive Value of TestsRisk AssessmentAbdominal aortic calcificationCross-sectional studyFramingham indexNHANESPrognosisRisk factor

Identifiers

PMID39810136
PMCPMC11731564

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.