Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39806827›Full record

Observational studyThoracic cancer2025

Long-Term Real-World Survival of Immunotherapy Compared to Chemotherapy for Metastatic Nonsmall Cell Lung Cancer: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis.

Kun Kim, Michael Sweeting, Linus Jönsson, Nils Wilking

Erratum issuedAbstract readObservational StudyComparative Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Thoracic cancer, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Kun KimDepartment of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1587-3325
Michael SweetingStatistical Innovation, AstraZeneca, London, UK.
Linus JönssonDepartment of Neurobiology, Care Sciences and Society, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Nils WilkingDepartment of Oncology-Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe long-term real-world effect of immunotherapy (IO) is uncertain in metastatic nonsmall cell lung cancer (mNSCLC). This retrospective observational study aimed to describe treatment patterns following the introduction of IO, estimate real-world treatment effects of IO compared to standard of care, and evaluate the impact of introduction of IO on a real-world population, based on a large dataset of over 10 000 patients with several years of follow-up.

methodsData from routine care of lung cancer patients were extracted from Flatiron Health including those who received either IO or platinum-based doublet chemotherapy (PBDC) in the first line (1L), or either IO or chemotherapy (CT) in the second line (2L). Real-world overall survival (rwOS) and real-world time to next therapy (rwTTNT) were estimated using Cox regression. Flexible parametric models, relaxing proportional hazard assumptions, were used to evaluate long-term IO effects.

resultsAfter 1:1 nearest neighbor matching among 16 754 1L and 6548 2L patients, the hazard ratio (HR) was 0.942 (95% CI, 0.902-0.984) in 1L and 0.853 (95% CI, 0.795-0.915) in 2L. Adjusting for crossover effects, HR was 0.887 in 1L and 0.775 in 2L. Over the 7-year follow-up, the mean rwOS benefit was 3.2 months for 1L and 2.7 months for 2L. IO significantly delayed rwTTNT in both 1L and 2L. The IO effects increased and persisted over time, with uncertainty in the time-varying HR estimate.

conclusionIO improves survival in patients with mNSCLC, though the effect size is smaller than in trials and long-term survival estimates are uncertain.

Indexed as

Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsCarcinoma, Non-Small-Cell LungImmunotherapyLung NeoplasmsAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPropensity ScoreRetrospective Studiescancer immunotherapycrossover effectsmetastatic non‐small cell lung cancerpropensity score matchingreal‐world evidencesurvival analysis

Identifiers

PMID39806827
PMCPMC11729852

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.