Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39806665›Full record

Observational studyBMJ open2024

Novel prehospital lactate cut-off estimation for mortality: a multicentre observational study.

Francisco Martín-Rodríguez, Ancor Sanz-Garcia, Daniel Zalama-Sánchez, Pedro Ángel de Santos Castro, Eduardo Silva Alvarado, Santos Gracia Villar, Luis Alonso Dzul López, Silvia Aparicio Obregón, Rubén Calderon Iglesias, Carlos Del Pozo Vegas and 1 more

Abstract readObservational StudyMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMJ open, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Francisco Martín-RodríguezUniversidad de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain.
Ancor Sanz-GarciaUniversity of Castilla-La Mancha, Ciudad Real, Spain ancor.sanz@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5024-5108
Daniel Zalama-SánchezEmergency Department, University Hospital Virgen de la Victoria, Malaga, Andalucía, Spain.
Pedro Ángel de Santos CastroEmergency Department, Hospital Clínico Universitario, Valencia, Spain.
Eduardo Silva AlvaradoUneatlantico, Santander, Cantabria, Spain.
Santos Gracia VillarUneatlantico, Santander, Cantabria, Spain.
Luis Alonso Dzul LópezUneatlantico, Santander, Cantabria, Spain.
Silvia Aparicio ObregónUneatlantico, Santander, Cantabria, Spain.
Rubén Calderon IglesiasUneatlantico, Santander, Cantabria, Spain.
Carlos Del Pozo VegasUniversidad de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain.
Raúl López-IzquierdoRio Hortega, Valladolid University Hospital, Valladolid, Spain.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesPoint-of-care testing available in prehospital settings requires the establishment of new medical decision points. The aim of the present work was to determine the cut-off of the lactate threshold that activates alert triggers for all-cause 2-day mortality.

designMulticentre, prospective, ambulance-based, observational study.

settingPatients treated via emergency medical services (EMSs) and delivered to the emergency department between 2019 and 2023 were selected in Spain.

participantsAdults with any acute disease. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Epidemiological data, vital signs and prehospital point-of-care glucose and lactate levels were obtained. The outcome was all-cause 2-day in-hospital mortality. The cut-offs were obtained via three different methods: (i) indirect (which considers survivors and non-survivors), direct (which considers only survivors) assessment and lactate quartile. Additionally, the quartile approach was used to determine the differences in lactate distribution between survivors and non-survivors. Three different back-to-back studies with the same methodology were used.

resultsA total of 11 713 patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria. The mortality rate was 4.6% (542 patients). The difference in the median prehospital lactate concentration (mmol/L) between survivors and non-survivors was statistically significant (p<0.001): 2.29 (95% CI 1.43 to 3.38) and 7.14 (95% CI 5.11 to 9.71), respectively. Globally, the cut-off for all the studies combined was estimated by the direct method to be 3.71 mmol/L (95% CI 2.92 to 3.91), which was similar to the indirect value of 3.07 (95% CI 2.95 to 5.49) and the third quartile of 4.00. The mortality rate in patients who were less than 3.71 mmol/L was 0.004%, and that above that cut-off was 18%.

conclusionsThis study established a real-world lactate cut-off for 2-day in-hospital mortality of 3.71 mmol/L (95% CI 2.92 to 3.91) on the basis of data from the EMS. Considering this cut-off point could improve patient management via EMS services, allowing quick identification of patients at high risk of clinical worsening. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN Registry (ISRCTN17676798, ISRCTN48326533, ISRCTN49321933).

Indexed as

Emergency Medical ServicesHospital MortalityLactic AcidPoint-of-Care TestingAdultAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesSpainLactic AcidACCIDENT & EMERGENCY MEDICINEEmergency Service, HospitalMortality

Identifiers

PMID39806665
PMCPMC11667247

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.