Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39806620›Full record

Observational studyBMJ open2024

Point-of-care tests, diagnostic uncertainty and antimicrobial stewardship in the ICU: procalcitonin or PCR to aid antibiotic-stop decisions - an observational cohort study.

Timothy Lau, Martine Nurek, Archit Singhal, Luke Moore, Nabeela Mughal, Suveer Singh

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMJ open, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Review
  3. Observational
  4. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Timothy Lau *Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0004-5810-0028
Martine Nurek *Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4252-4692
Archit SinghalImperial College London, London, UK.
Luke MooreImperial College London, London, UK.
Nabeela MughalImperial College London, London, UK.
Suveer Singh *Imperial College London, London, UK suveer.singh@imperial.ac.uk.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesIntensive care unit (ICU) clinicians stop antibiotics more often, with a negative infection: point-of-care test (PCR-POCT). Simulated cases of diagnostic uncertainty regarding infection resolution led clinicians to choose options such as procalcitonin (PCT) and/or PCR-POCTs +/- de-escalation to aid stop decisions. We hypothesised that a direct infection indicator, PCR-POCT, would influence stop judgements more than indirect PCT. Accordingly, we tested antibiotic-stop decisions when presented with a negative PCR-POCT despite borderline-positive PCT. DESIGNS: Observational prospective study.

settingICU.

participants66 ICU clinicians from University hospitals.

methodsClinicians saw four scenarios of different clinico-biological trajectories: (1) clear improvement, (2) clear worsening, (3) discordant-clinically better/biologically worse and (4) discordant-clinically worse/biologically better. Participants gave an initial decision (stop/continue/continue-escalate/continue-de-escalate). Then PCR-POCT and/or PCT was offered (accept/decline). After a negative PCR-POCT and borderline-positive PCT result, a final antibiotic decision was taken. MEASURES: Proportion of stop decisions before versus after test results per scenario. The association of the final decision with the clinician's change in confidence, willingness to request the biomarker(s) and the case trajectory was determined.

resultsFewer clinicians than expected stopped antibiotics versus baseline (36%, 94/264 vs 42%, 110/264, p=0.045). This was so in three of four scenarios, significantly less in the improvement (p<0.001) and the discordant clinically better scenario (p=0.024). PCT was requested more frequently than PCR-POCT (61% vs 53%, p<0.001). PCT requesters (vs declining) were significantly less inclined to stop antibiotics (p<0.001), while PCR-POCT requesting led to more stopping (p<0.001), before knowing the test results.

conclusionsA negative PCR-POCT result did not increase clinicians' inclination to stop antibiotics when alongside a borderline-positive PCT. This reflects clinicians' natural risk aversion. PCT was more popular than PCR-POCT, but PCR-POCT was more likely to aid stop decisions.Their comparison, role, utility and selective deployment for influencing antibiotic-stop decisions more effectively require a large randomised controlled trial.

Indexed as

Anti-Bacterial AgentsAntimicrobial StewardshipClinical Decision-MakingIntensive Care UnitsPoint-of-Care TestingProcalcitoninFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesUncertaintyAnti-Bacterial AgentsProcalcitoninBehaviourDiagnostic microbiologyINFECTIOUS DISEASESINTENSIVE & CRITICAL CAREMICROBIOLOGY

Identifiers

PMID39806620
PMCPMC11667276

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.