Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39806417›Full record

ArticleCardiovascular diabetology2025

Improving 10-year cardiovascular risk prediction in patients with type 2 diabetes with metabolomics.

Ruijie Xie, Teresa Seum, Sha Sha, Kira Trares, Bernd Holleczek, Hermann Brenner, Ben Schöttker

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Cardiovascular diabetology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

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21citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Ruijie XieDivision of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center, Im Neuenheimer Feld 581, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany.
Teresa SeumDivision of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center, Im Neuenheimer Feld 581, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany.
Sha ShaDivision of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center, Im Neuenheimer Feld 581, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany.
Kira TraresDivision of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center, Im Neuenheimer Feld 581, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany.
Bernd HolleczekSaarland Cancer Registry, Neugeländstraße 9, 66117, Saarbrücken, Germany.
Hermann BrennerDivision of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center, Im Neuenheimer Feld 581, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany.
Ben SchöttkerDivision of Clinical Epidemiology and Aging Research, German Cancer Research Center, Im Neuenheimer Feld 581, 69120, Heidelberg, Germany. b.schoettker@dkfz.de.

Funding

British Heart FoundationWellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundExisting cardiovascular risk prediction models still have room for improvement in patients with type 2 diabetes who represent a high-risk population. This study evaluated whether adding metabolomic biomarkers could enhance the 10-year prediction of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in these patients.

methodsData from 10,257 to 1,039 patients with type 2 diabetes from the UK Biobank (UKB) and the German ESTHER cohort, respectively, were used for model derivation, internal and external validation. A total of 249 metabolites were measured with nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy. Sex-specific LASSO regression with bootstrapping identified significant metabolites. The enhanced model's predictive performance was evaluated using Harrell's C-index.

resultsSeven metabolomic biomarkers were selected by LASSO regression for enhanced MACE risk prediction (three for both sexes, three male- and one female-specific metabolite(s)). Especially albumin and the omega-3-fatty-acids-to-total-fatty-acids-percentage among males and lactate among females improved the C-index. In internal validation with 30% of the UKB, adding the selected metabolites to the SCORE2-Diabetes model increased the C-index statistically significantly (P = 0.037) from 0.660 to 0.678 in the total sample. In external validation with ESTHER, the C-index increase was higher (+ 0.043) and remained statistically significant (P = 0.011).

conclusionsIncorporating seven metabolomic biomarkers in the SCORE2-Diabetes model enhanced its ability to predict MACE in patients with type 2 diabetes. Given the latest cost reduction and standardization efforts, NMR metabolomics has the potential for translation into the clinical routine.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2MetabolomicsAgedBiomarkersFemaleGermanyHeart Disease Risk FactorsHumansMagnetic Resonance SpectroscopyMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisReproducibility of ResultsRisk AssessmentBiomarkersCardiovascular riskMetabolomicsPrediction modelType 2 diabetes

Identifiers

PMID39806417
PMCPMC11730797

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.