Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39799755›Full record

ArticleAtherosclerosis2025

Evaluation of a machine learning-based metabolic marker for coronary artery disease in the UK Biobank.

Kyle Gibson, Iain S Forrest, Ben O Petrazzini, Áine Duffy, Joshua K Park, Waqas Malick, Robert S Rosenson, Ghislain Rocheleau, Daniel M Jordan, Ron Do

Abstract readEvaluation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Atherosclerosis, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Kyle GibsonThe Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA; Department of Genetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Iain S ForrestThe Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA; Medical Scientist Training Program, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA; Department of Genetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Ben O PetrazziniThe Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA; Department of Genetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA; Center for Genomic Data Analytics, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Áine DuffyThe Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA; Department of Genetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Joshua K ParkThe Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA; Medical Scientist Training Program, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA; Department of Genetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Waqas MalickThe Zena and Michael A. Wiener Cardiovascular Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Robert S RosensonThe Zena and Michael A. Wiener Cardiovascular Institute, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Ghislain RocheleauThe Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA; Department of Genetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA; Center for Genomic Data Analytics, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Daniel M JordanThe Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA; Department of Genetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA; Center for Genomic Data Analytics, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA.
Ron DoThe Charles Bronfman Institute for Personalized Medicine, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA; Department of Genetics and Genomic Sciences, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA; Center for Genomic Data Analytics, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA. Electronic address: ron.do@mssm.edu.

Funding

Conduits: Mount Sinai Health System Translational Science HubUL1TR004419 · NCATS · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI Rosalind J Wright · 2022 to 2026
$46.4M
Institutional Career Development CoreKL2TR004421 · NCATS · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI Inga Peter · 2022 to 2026
$6.2M
J: NRSA Training CoreTL1TR004420 · NCATS · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI JANICE L GABRILOVE, Robert O Wright · 2022 to 2026
$3.9M
Towards an integrated map of causal connections for common, complex diseasesR35GM124836 · NIGMS · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI Ron Do · 2017 to 2026
$3.9M
Conduits: MSHS Translational Science HubTL1TR001434 · NCATS · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI GABRILOVE, JANICE L · 2015 to 2019
$2.1M
Resolving Causal Influences Among Correlated Risk Biomarkers for Coronary Artery DiseaseR01HL139865 · NHLBI · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI DO, RON · 2018 to 2021
$1.7M
NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR004421NCATS NIH HHS TL1 TR001434NCATS NIH HHS TL1 TR004420NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR004419NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL139865NIGMS NIH HHS R35 GM124836
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsAn in silico quantitative score of coronary artery disease (ISCAD), built using machine learning and clinical data from electronic health records, has been shown to result in gradations of risk of subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary artery disease (CAD) sequelae, and mortality. Large-scale metabolite biomarker profiling provides increased portability and objectivity in machine learning for disease prediction and gradation. However, these models have not been fully leveraged. We evaluated a quantitative score of CAD derived from probabilities of a machine learning model trained on metabolomic data.

methodsWe developed a CAD-predictive learning model using metabolic data from 93,642 individuals from the UK Biobank (median [IQR] age, 57 [14] years; 39,796 [42 %] male; 5640 [6 %] with diagnosed CAD), and assessed its probabilities as a quantitative metabolic risk score for CAD (M-CAD; range 0 [lowest probability] to 1 [highest probability]) in participants of the UK Biobank. The relationship of M-CAD with arterial stiffness index, ejection fraction, CAD sequelae, and mortality was assessed.

resultsThe model predicted CAD with an area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve of 0.712. Arterial Stiffness Index increased by 0.19 and ejection fraction decreased by 0.2 % per 0.1 increase in M-CAD. Both incident and recurrent myocardial infarction increased stepwise over M-CAD quartiles (odds ratio (OR) 15.3 [4.2 %] and 12.5 [0.2 %]) in top quartiles as compared to the first quartile of incident and recurrent MI respectively). Likewise, the hazard ratio and prevalence of all-cause mortality, CVD-associated mortality, and CAD-associated mortality increased stepwise over M-CAD deciles (2.98 [14 %], 9.34 [4.3 %], 26.7 [2.7 %] in the top deciles as compared to the first decile of all-cause, CVD, and CAD mortality respectively).

conclusionsMetabolic-based machine learning can be used to build a quantitative risk score for CAD that is associated with atherosclerotic burden, CAD sequelae and mortality.

Indexed as

Coronary Artery DiseaseMachine LearningMetabolomicsAgedBiological Specimen BanksBiomarkersFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsUK BiobankUnited KingdomBiomarkersBiobankCoronary artery diseaseMachine learningMetabolicPersonalizedQuantitative risk score

Identifiers

PMID39799755
PMCPMC11798691

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.