Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39797631›Full record

ArticleBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2024

Trajectories of breast density change over time and subsequent breast cancer risk: longitudinal study.

Boyoung Park, Yoosoo Chang, Seungho Ryu, Thi Xuan Mai Tran

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  7. Persistent CD8Frontiers in immunology · 2026
    Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Boyoung ParkDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Yoosoo ChangCenter for Cohort Studies, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Seungho RyuCenter for Cohort Studies, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Thi Xuan Mai TranDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.ORCID 0000-0001-7720-4552

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo identify clusters of women with similar trajectories of breast density change over four longitudinal assessments and to examine the association between these trajectories and the subsequent risk of breast cancer.

designRetrospective cohort study.

settingData from the national breast cancer screening programme, which is embedded in the National Health Insurance Service database in Korea. Breast density was assessed using the four category Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System (BI-RADS) classification. Group based trajectory modelling was performed to identify the trajectories of breast density.

participantsWomen aged ≥40 years who underwent four biennial mammographic screenings between 2009 and 2016.

main outcome measuresBreast cancer development was determined to 31 December 2021. Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the associations between trajectories and breast cancer outcomes after adjusting for covariates.

resultsAmong a cohort of 1 747 507 women (mean age 61.4 years), five breast density trajectory groups were identified. Group 1 included women with persistently fatty breast tissue, group 2 included women with fatty breast tissue at baseline but increased breast density over time, and groups 3-5 included women with denser breasts, with a slight decrease in density over time. Women in group 2 had a 1.60-fold (95% confidence interval 1.49 to 1.72) increased risk of breast cancer compared with those in group 1. Women in groups 3-5 had higher risks compared with those in group 1, with adjusted hazard ratios of 1.86 (1.74 to 1.98), 2.49 (2.33 to 2.65), and 3.07 (2.87 to 3.28), respectively. Similar results were observed across different age groups, regardless of changes in menopausal status or body mass index.

conclusionsThis study identified five distinct groups of women with similar trajectories of breast density change over time. Future risk of breast cancer was found to vary in these groups. Increasingly dense or persistently dense breasts were associated with a higher risk. Changes in breast density over time should be carefully considered during breast cancer risk stratification and incorporated into future risk models.

Indexed as

BreastBreast DensityBreast NeoplasmsAdultAgedEarly Detection of CancerFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMammographyMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsRepublic of KoreaRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID39797631
PMCPMC11684031

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.