Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39794317›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Integrating artificial intelligence with mechanistic epidemiological modeling: a scoping review of opportunities and challenges.

Yang Ye, Abhishek Pandey, Carolyn Bawden, Dewan Md Sumsuzzman, Rimpi Rajput, Affan Shoukat, Burton H Singer, Seyed M Moghadas, Alison P Galvani

Abstract readScoping Review
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. [Transformation of Epidemiology in the Age of Artificial Intelligence].Revista medica del Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social · 2026
    Article
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. The neurotoxic legacy of CAR-T cells: where do we stand?Therapeutic advances in neurological disorders · 2026
    Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Yang YeCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Abhishek PandeyCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4578-7487
Carolyn BawdenDepartment of Microbiology and Immunology, McGill University, Montréal, QC, Canada.
Dewan Md SumsuzzmanAgent-Based Modelling Laboratory, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4468-1202
Rimpi RajputCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
Affan ShoukatDepartment of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Regina, Regina, SK, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9280-8311
Burton H SingerEmerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.
Seyed M MoghadasAgent-Based Modelling Laboratory, York University, Toronto, ON, Canada.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4414-0227
Alison P GalvaniCenter for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA. alison.galvani@yale.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2059-6716

Funding

Accelerating viral outbreak detection in US cities using mechanistic models, machine learning and diverse geospatial dataR01AI151176 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI GALVANI, ALISON P, MEYERS, LAUREN ANCEL · 2020 to 2024
$3.9M
NCIRD CDC HHS U01 IP001136NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI151176
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Integrating prior epidemiological knowledge embedded within mechanistic models with the data-mining capabilities of artificial intelligence (AI) offers transformative potential for epidemiological modeling. While the fusion of AI and traditional mechanistic approaches is rapidly advancing, efforts remain fragmented. This scoping review provides a comprehensive overview of emerging integrated models applied across the spectrum of infectious diseases. Through systematic search strategies, we identified 245 eligible studies from 15,460 records. Our review highlights the practical value of integrated models, including advances in disease forecasting, model parameterization, and calibration. However, key research gaps remain. These include the need for better incorporation of realistic decision-making considerations, expanded exploration of diverse datasets, and further investigation into biological and socio-behavioral mechanisms. Addressing these gaps will unlock the synergistic potential of AI and mechanistic modeling to enhance understanding of disease dynamics and support more effective public health planning and response.

Indexed as

Artificial IntelligenceCommunicable DiseasesData MiningForecastingHumansPublic Health

Identifiers

PMID39794317
PMCPMC11724045

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.