Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39789670›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA2025

Objective study validity diagnostics: a framework requiring pre-specified, empirical verification to increase trust in the reliability of real-world evidence.

Mitchell M Conover, Patrick B Ryan, Yong Chen, Marc A Suchard, George Hripcsak, Martijn J Schuemie

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Evaluating large-scale propensity score adjustment when sample size is small.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2026
    Article
  2. Observational
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Observational
  7. Trust in Observational Research.Journal of the American College of Cardiology · 2026
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Towards responsible artificial intelligence in healthcare-getting real about real-world data and evidence.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2025
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Assessing Covariate Balance with Small Sample Sizes.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Mitchell M ConoverCoordinating Center, Observational Health Data Science and Informatics, New York City, NY 10032, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-5682-3688
Patrick B RyanCoordinating Center, Observational Health Data Science and Informatics, New York City, NY 10032, United States.
Yong ChenCoordinating Center, Observational Health Data Science and Informatics, New York City, NY 10032, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-0835-0788
Marc A SuchardCoordinating Center, Observational Health Data Science and Informatics, New York City, NY 10032, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-9818-479X
George HripcsakCoordinating Center, Observational Health Data Science and Informatics, New York City, NY 10032, United States.
Martijn J SchuemieCoordinating Center, Observational Health Data Science and Informatics, New York City, NY 10032, United States.

Funding

DISCOVERING AND APPLYING KNOWLEDGE IN CLINICAL DATABASESR01LM006910 · NLM · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI HRIPCSAK, GEORGE M · 2000 to 2023
$10.6M
Real-world Evidence to Inform Decisions for Hypertension Treatment EscalationR01HL169954 · NHLBI · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI Yuan Lu · 2023 to 2026
$2.6M
Translating Personalized Inference from Randomized Clinical Trials to Real-World Cardiovascular CareR01HL167858 · NHLBI · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI Rohan Khera · 2024 to 2026
$2.3M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL167858NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL169954NIH HHS R01 HL167858NLM NIH HHS R01 LM006910
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivePropose a framework to empirically evaluate and report validity of findings from observational studies using pre-specified objective diagnostics, increasing trust in real-world evidence (RWE). MATERIALS AND

methodsThe framework employs objective diagnostic measures to assess the appropriateness of study designs, analytic assumptions, and threats to validity in generating reliable evidence addressing causal questions. Diagnostic evaluations should be interpreted before the unblinding of study results or, alternatively, only unblind results from analyses that pass pre-specified thresholds. We provide a conceptual overview of objective diagnostic measures and demonstrate their impact on the validity of RWE from a large-scale comparative new-user study of various antihypertensive medications. We evaluated expected absolute systematic error (EASE) before and after applying diagnostic thresholds, using a large set of negative control outcomes.

resultsApplying objective diagnostics reduces bias and improves evidence reliability in observational studies. Among 11 716 analyses (EASE = 0.38), 13.9% met pre-specified diagnostic thresholds which reduced EASE to zero. Objective diagnostics provide a comprehensive and empirical set of tests that increase confidence when passed and raise doubts when failed. DISCUSSION: The increasing use of real-world data presents a scientific opportunity; however, the complexity of the evidence generation process poses challenges for understanding study validity and trusting RWE. Deploying objective diagnostics is crucial to reducing bias and improving reliability in RWE generation. Under ideal conditions, multiple study designs pass diagnostics and generate consistent results, deepening understanding of causal relationships. Open-source, standardized programs can facilitate implementation of diagnostic analyses.

conclusionObjective diagnostics are a valuable addition to the RWE generation process.

Indexed as

Observational Studies as TopicResearch DesignBiasHumansReproducibility of ResultsTrustcausalitydata interpretationmethodsobservational studyresearch designstatistical

Identifiers

PMID39789670
PMCPMC11833483

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.