Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39789195›Full record

ArticleJournal of exposure science & environmental epidemiology2025

Associations between per-and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) and county-level cancer incidence between 2016 and 2021 and incident cancer burden attributable to PFAS in drinking water in the United States.

Shiwen Li, Paulina Oliva, Lu Zhang, Jesse A Goodrich, Rob McConnell, David V Conti, Lida Chatzi, Max Aung

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of exposure science & environmental epidemiology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Shiwen LiDepartment of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA. shiwenli@usc.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8557-2416
Paulina OlivaDepartment of Economics, Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Lu ZhangDepartment of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Jesse A GoodrichDepartment of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Rob McConnellDepartment of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
David V ContiDepartment of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Lida ChatziDepartment of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Max AungDepartment of Population and Public Health Sciences, Keck School of Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.

Funding

USC/NORRIS COMPREHENSIVE CANCER CENTER (CORE) SUPPORTP30CA014089 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI Fumito Ito · 1985 to 2026
$181.4M
Translational Research Support CoreP30ES007048 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI ROB S MCCONNELL · 1996 to 2026
$46.4M
Southern California Superfund Research and Training Program for PFAS Assessment, Remediation, and Prevention (ShARP)P42ES036506 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI VAIA LIDA CHATZI · 2025 to 2026
$8.2M
Effects of DDE exposure on adipose tissue function, weight loss and metabolic improvement after bariatric surgery: A new paradigm for study of lipophilic chemicalsR01ES030364 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI CHATZI, VAIA LIDA · 2020 to 2024
$3.2M
Environmental Chemical Exposures and Longitudinal Changes of Glucose Metabolism, Insulin Sensitivity and B Cell Function in YouthR01ES029944 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI CHATZI, VAIA LIDA · 2019 to 2023
$3.1M
Longitudinal integration of environmental exposures, omics, and childhood NAFLD (LEON) StudyU01HG013288 · NHGRI · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI AUNG, TUN (MAX) M, CHATZI, VAIA LIDA · 2023 to 2025
$2.4M
Hepatotoxic effects of perfluoroalkyl substances: a new epidemiological approach for studying environmental fatty liver diseaseR01ES030691 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI CHATZI, VAIA LIDA · 2020 to 2022
$1.9M
PFAS and bone health over the life course in Hispanic/Latinos: emerging risk factors and underlying mechanismsR01ES036253 · NIEHS · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI CHATZI, VAIA LIDA · 2025 to 2025
$710k
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA014089NHGRI NIH HHS U01 HG013288NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES007048NIEHS NIH HHS P42 ES036506NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES029944NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES030364NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES030691NIEHS NIH HHS R01 ES036253
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundExposure to per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) has been linked with various cancers. Assessment of PFAS in drinking water and cancers can help inform biomonitoring and prevention efforts.

objectiveTo screen for incident cancer (2016-2021) and assess associations with PFAS contamination in drinking water in the US.

methodsWe obtained county-level age-adjusted cancer incidence (2016-2021) from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program. Data on PFAS levels in public drinking water systems were obtained from the Third (UCMR3; 2013-2015) and Fifth (UCMR5; 2023-2024) Unregulated Contaminant Monitoring Rule. UCMR3 measured PFOS, PFOA, PFNA, PFHxS, PFHpA, and PFBS. UCMR5 expanded measurements to include PFBA, PFHxA, PFPeA, and PFPeS. We created indicators of PFAS detection and, for UCMR5, concentrations above Maximum Contaminant Levels (MCLs). MCLs for PFOA and PFOS are 4 ng/L, and for PFNA and PFHxS are 10 ng/L. We used Poisson regression models to assess associations between PFAS detection or MCL violation and cancer incidence, adjusting for potential confounders. We estimated the number of attributable cancer cases.

resultsPFAS in drinking water was associated with increased cancer incidence in the digestive, endocrine, oral cavity/pharynx, and respiratory systems. Incidence rate ratios (IRRs) ranged from 1.02 to 1.33. The strongest association was observed between PFBS and oral cavity/pharynx cancers (IRR: 1.33 [1.04, 1.71]). Among males, PFAS was associated with cancers in the urinary, brain, leukemia, and soft tissues. Among females, PFAS was associated with cancers in the thyroid, oral cavity/pharynx, and soft tissue. PFAS in drinking water is estimated to contribute to 4626 [95% CI: 1,377, 8046] incident cancer cases per year based on UCMR3 data and 6864 [95% CI: 991, 12,804] based on UCMR5. IMPACT STATEMENT: The ecological study examined the associations between PFAS in drinking water measured in two waves (2013-2015 and 2023-2024) and cancer incidence between 2016 and 2021. We found that PFAS in drinking water was associated with cancers in the organ system including the oral cavity/pharynx, lung, digestive system, brain, urinary system, soft tissue, and thyroid. Some cancers have not been widely studied for their associations with PFAS. We also observed sex differences in the associations between PFAS and cancer risks. This is the first ecological study that examined PFAS exposure in drinking water and various cancer risks.

Indexed as

Drinking WaterEnvironmental ExposureFluorocarbonsNeoplasmsWater Pollutants, ChemicalAdultEnvironmental MonitoringFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedSEER ProgramUnited StatesDrinking WaterFluorocarbonsWater Pollutants, ChemicalCancerDrinking WaterPFAS

Identifiers

PMID39789195
PMCPMC12069088

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.