Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39788932›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Inequitable distribution of risks associated with occupational heat exposure driven by trade.

Meng Li, Bo Meng, Yong Geng, Fan Tong, Yuning Gao, Norihiko Yamano, Sunghun Lim, Joaquim Guilhoto, Kimiko Uno, Xiaohong Chen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Meng LiSchool of Environmental Science and Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0006-5712
Bo MengInstitute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization, Chiba, Japan. bo_meng@ide.go.jp.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1179-5390
Yong GengSchool of Environmental Science and Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China. ygeng@sjtu.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2284-1375
Fan TongSchool of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing, China.
Yuning GaoSchool of Public Policy and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Norihiko YamanoThe Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris, France.
Sunghun LimDepartment of Agricultural Economics & Agribusiness, Baton Rouge, US.
Joaquim GuilhotoInternational Monetary Fund, Washington D.C., US.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7098-1209
Kimiko UnoInstitute of Developing Economies, Japan External Trade Organization, Chiba, Japan.
Xiaohong ChenHunan University of Technology and Business, Changsha, China.

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 72088101
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The exposure to extreme heat at workplaces poses substantial threat to human effort and manual labour. This becomes more prominent due to the global dispersion of labour-intensive production activities via trade. We combine a climate model with an input-output model to quantify the risks associated with trade-related occupational extreme heat exposure. Here we show an 89% surge in trade-related labour exposure to extreme heat, escalating from 221.5 to 419.0 billion person-hours between 1995 and 2020. Lower-middle-income and low-income economies constituted 53.7% and 18.3% of global exposure but only 5.7% and 1.0% of global labour compensation. In countries highly susceptible to extreme heat conditions, workers perform tasks in heated conditions for up to about 50% of their working hours. The disproportionate trade effects in redistributing global benefits and costs leads to the inequality in heat exposure between developed and developing economies. In striving for equitable and safe work conditions, workers vulnerable to heat extremes in developing economies should be protected by climate adaptation infrastructure, given their critical roles in the global production system.

Indexed as

Occupational ExposureCommerceDeveloping CountriesExtreme HeatHot TemperatureHumansWorkplace

Identifiers

PMID39788932
PMCPMC11718198

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.