Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39786471›Full record

ArticleEuropean heart journal2025

Sex-specific risk factors for new-onset heart failure: the PREVEND study at 25 years.

Bart J van Essen, Johanna E Emmens, Jasper Tromp, Wouter Ouwerkerk, Marcelle D Smit, Christiane A Geluk, Lukas Baumhove, Navin Suthahar, Ron T Gansevoort, Stephan J L Bakker and 5 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in European heart journal, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
31citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

31 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Review
  3. Sex-specific differences in disease severity and outcomes in left ventricular heart failure: a nationwide cohort study.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Decoding the Heart Failure Peptidome.Circulation. Heart failure · 2026
    Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. Review
  17. Observational
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Bart J van EssenDepartment of Cardiology, University Medical Centre Groningen, University of Groningen, Hanzeplein 1, 9713 GZ, Groningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-9057-7449
Johanna E EmmensDepartment of Cardiology, University Medical Centre Groningen, University of Groningen, Hanzeplein 1, 9713 GZ, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Jasper TrompSaw Swee Hock School of Public Health & The National University Health System, Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0001-6043-0713
Wouter OuwerkerkDepartment of Dermatology, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam Infection and Immunity Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
Marcelle D SmitDepartment of Cardiology, Martini Hospital, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Christiane A GelukDepartment of Cardiology, Martini Hospital, Groningen, The Netherlands.
Lukas BaumhoveDepartment of Cardiology, University Medical Centre Groningen, University of Groningen, Hanzeplein 1, 9713 GZ, Groningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-5860-7943
Navin SuthaharErasmus MC, Cardiovascular Institute, Thorax Center, Department of Cardiology, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Ron T GansevoortDivision of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, University Medical Centre Groningen, University of Groningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-3223-0906
Stephan J L BakkerDivision of Nephrology, Department of Internal Medicine, University Medical Centre Groningen, University of Groningen, The Netherlands.
Kevin DammanDepartment of Cardiology, University Medical Centre Groningen, University of Groningen, Hanzeplein 1, 9713 GZ, Groningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-0190-2228
Peter van der MeerDepartment of Cardiology, University Medical Centre Groningen, University of Groningen, Hanzeplein 1, 9713 GZ, Groningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-9705-4413
Rudolf A de BoerErasmus MC, Cardiovascular Institute, Thorax Center, Department of Cardiology, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-4775-9140
Dirk J van VeldhuisenDepartment of Cardiology, University Medical Centre Groningen, University of Groningen, Hanzeplein 1, 9713 GZ, Groningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-1611-7935
Adriaan A VoorsDepartment of Cardiology, University Medical Centre Groningen, University of Groningen, Hanzeplein 1, 9713 GZ, Groningen, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-5417-4415

Funding

Dutch Kidney FoundationEuropean Research Council CoG 818715Netherlands Heart Foundation 2017-21
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsCurrent estimates for the lifetime risk to develop heart failure with either a reduced (HFrEF) or preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and their associated risk factors are derived from two studies from the USA. The sex-specific lifetime risk and population attributable fraction of potentially modifiable risk factors for incident HFpEF and HFrEF are described in a large European community-based cohort with 25 years of follow-up.

methodsA total of 8558 participants from the PREVEND cohort were studied at baseline from 1997 onwards and followed until 2022 for cases of new-onset HFrEF (ejection fraction < 50%) and HFpEF (ejection fraction ≥ 50%) by assessment of hospital records.

resultsA total of 804 cases of new-onset HF were identified (534 HFrEF and 270 HFpEF) during 25 years of follow-up. The mean age at baseline was 50 years for men and 47 years for women. The mean age at onset of HF was 72.1 years in men and 74.2 years in women. The overall lifetime risk of developing HF was 24.5% in men compared to 23.3% in women. The lifetime risk of HFrEF was lower in women compared with men (11.9% vs. 18.1%), while the lifetime risk of HFpEF was higher in women compared with men (11.5% vs. 6.4%). In women, 71% of incident HFrEF cases were attributable to eight risk factors (hypertension, hypercholesterolaemia, obesity, smoking, atrial fibrillation, chronic kidney disease, myocardial infarction, and diabetes mellitus) and 60% in men. In women, 64% of incident HFpEF cases were attributable to those risk factors, whereas this was 46% in men. More specifically, in both men and women, hypertension and hypercholesterolaemia were the strongest risk factors for HFrEF, whereas hypertension and obesity were the strongest risk factors for HFpEF.

conclusionsIn this European cohort, the lifetime risk of developing HFrEF was greater in men than in women, while women were at greater risk of developing HFpEF. Eight directly and indirectly modifiable risk factors substantially accounted for the risk of developing HFrEF and HFpEF, particularly in women.

Indexed as

Heart FailureAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRisk FactorsSex FactorsStroke VolumeEpidemiologyHeart failureHeart failure with preserved ejection fractionHeart failure with reduced ejection fractionLifetime risk

Identifiers

PMID39786471
PMCPMC12011521

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