Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39786446›Full record

ArticleJNCI cancer spectrum2025

Changes in breast cancer risk associated with benign breast disease from 1967 to 2013.

Amy C Degnim, Karthik Ghosh, Robert A Vierkant, Stacey J Winham, Tanya L Hoskin, Jodi M Carter, Bryan M McCauley, Matt R Jensen, Teresa Allers, Marlene Frost and 10 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JNCI cancer spectrum, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Advancing Evidence of the Associations between specific Benign Breast Diagnoses and Future Breast Cancer Risk.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors.

Amy C DegnimDivision of Breast and Melanoma Surgical Oncology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-2303-4946
Karthik GhoshGeneral Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-8356-0980
Robert A VierkantClinical Trials and Biostatistics, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, FL 32224, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-6242-5221
Stacey J WinhamQuantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-8492-9102
Tanya L HoskinClinical Trials and Biostatistics, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, FL 32224, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-7429-7674
Jodi M CarterLaboratory Medicine and Pathology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-5973-0732
Bryan M McCauleyClinical Trials and Biostatistics, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, FL 32224, United States.ORCID 0000-0003-4014-2663
Matt R JensenClinical Trials and Biostatistics, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, FL 32224, United States.
Teresa AllersSurgery Clinical Research, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, United States.
Marlene FrostDivision of Medical Oncology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, United States.
Denice L GehlingSurgery Clinical Research, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, United States.
Jessica L FischerSurgery Clinical Research, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, United States.
Lisa R SeymourSurgery Clinical Research, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, United States.
Laura M Pacheco-SpannClinical Trials and Biostatistics, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, FL 32224, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-6531-8840
Philip S RosenbergBiostatistics Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD 20892, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-6349-9126
Lori A DenisonInformation Technology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, United States.
Celine M VachonQuantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-1962-9322
Lynn C HartmannDivision of Medical Oncology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN 55905, United States.
Derek C RadiskyCancer Biology, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, FL 32224, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-1962-8784
Mark E ShermanQuantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Jacksonville, FL 32224, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-9222-8808

Funding

Women's Cancer ProgramP30CA015083 · NCI · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI Lila J. Rutten · 1985 to 2026
$151.3M
The Role of CHFR in Tumorigenesis and Paclitaxel-Sensitivity in Breast CancerP50CA116201 · NCI · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI PETER C LUCAS · 2005 to 2026
$49.9M
Predicting Breast Cancer Risk after Benign Percutaneous BiopsyR01CA229811 · NCI · MAYO CLINIC JACKSONVILLE · PI DEGNIM, AMY C, SHERMAN, MARK E · 2018 to 2022
$3.5M
Andersen FoundationBreast Cancer Research FoundationDepartment of Defense Center of Excellence FEDDAMD17-02-1-0473-1NCI NIH HHS P30 CA015083NCI NIH HHS P50 CA116201NCI NIH HHS R01 CA229811NIH HHSNIH HHS R01CA 229811Susan G. Komen Breast Cancer Foundation
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBenign breast disease (BBD) increases breast cancer (BC) risk progressively for women diagnosed with nonproliferative change, proliferative disease without atypia (PDWA), and atypical hyperplasia (AH). Leveraging data from 18 704 women in the Mayo BBD Cohort (1967-2013), we evaluated temporal trends in BBD diagnoses and how they have influenced associated BC risk over 4 decades.

methodsBC risk trends associated with BBD were evaluated using standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) and age-period-cohort modeling across 4 eras-premammogram (1967-1981), precore needle biopsy (CNB) (1982-1992), transition to CNB (1993-2001), and CNB era (2002-2013).

resultsWith a median follow-up of 15.8 years, 9.9% of women were diagnosed with BC (invasive and/or DCIS). From the premammogram era to the CNB era, we observed a significant increase in BC risk, rising from an SIR of 1.61 to 1.99. The proportion of proliferative BBD diagnoses (PDWA or AH) increased markedly over time (28.1%-49.7%), as did the proportion of DCIS events (11%-28%; χ2  P < .001). Within specific BBD categories, the risk of invasive BC increased modestly.

conclusionsAbsolute risk of BC within BBD categories remained stable, but the relative risk of BC after BBD increased over time due to notable increases in higher risk BBD lesions, specifically PDWA and AH. These findings illustrate how evolving screening practices have changed the risk profile of BBD and should inform management strategies for patients with BBD in modern clinical settings.

Indexed as

BreastBreast DiseasesBreast NeoplasmsAdultAgedCarcinoma, Intraductal, NoninfiltratingCohort StudiesFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansHyperplasiaIncidenceMammographyMiddle AgedRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID39786446
PMCPMC11770946

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.