ArticleBMC public health2025
Association between physical multimorbidity in middle adulthood and mortality: findings from two large cohort studies in Japan.
Article in BMC public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.
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1 citing paper in PubMed.
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12 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundWhile previous literature suggests that multimorbidity is linked to a higher risk of mortality, evidence is scarce among individuals in middle adulthood. We aimed to examine the association between physical multimorbidity and all-cause mortality among individuals aged 40-64 years at baseline in Japan.
methodsData were obtained from two cohort studies, the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study (JPHC) and the Japan Epidemiology Collaboration on Occupational Health Study (J-ECOH). The study participants were 144,774 individuals aged 40-64 years at baseline who were followed up for a maximum of 29 and 10 years in the JPHC and J-ECOH, respectively. Multimorbidity was defined as the presence of ≥ 2 of 10 morbidities or conditions based on self-reported information. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to examine the association in relation to all-cause mortality. We calculated pooled hazard ratios (HR) and corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) using a random-effects meta-analysis model. Cause-specific analysis was performed using the JPHC dataset, which provided a sufficient number of events for mortality due to physical disorders, mental disorders/suicide, and unintentional injuries.
resultsDuring a follow-up of 2,304,375 person-years in the JPHC and 311,637 person-years in the J-ECOH, 23,611 and 275 deaths were recorded, respectively. Participants with vs. without physical multimorbidity at baseline were more likely to die prematurely in both cohorts with a pooled HR of 1.61 (95%CI = 1.29-2.01). Cause-specific analyses among the JPHC participants revealed that physical multimorbidity at baseline was linked with mortality due to physical disorders, mortality due to mental disorders/suicide, and mortality due to unintentional injuries.
conclusionsPhysical multimorbidity in middle adulthood is associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality in Japan.
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