Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39777868›Full record

Observational studyCancer medicine2025

Differentiating Pulmonary Nodule Malignancy Using Exhaled Volatile Organic Compounds: A Prospective Observational Study.

Guangyu Lu, Zhixia Su, Xiaoping Yu, Yuhang He, Taining Sha, Kai Yan, Hong Guo, Yujian Tao, Liting Liao, Yanyan Zhang and 2 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Cancer medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Guangyu LuDepartment of Health Management Center, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2568-7091
Zhixia SuSchool of Public Health, Medical College of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China.
Xiaoping YuDepartment of Health Management Center, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China.
Yuhang HeSchool of Nursing, Medical College of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China.
Taining ShaSchool of Public Health, Medical College of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China.
Kai YanSchool of Public Health, Medical College of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China.
Hong GuoDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China.
Yujian TaoDepartment of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China.
Liting LiaoDepartment of Basic Medicine, Medical College of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China.
Yanyan ZhangTesting Center of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China.
Guotao LuYangzhou Key Laboratory of Pancreatic Disease, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China.
Weijuan GongDepartment of Health Management Center, Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, Jiangsu, China.

Funding

Jiangsu Provincial Department of Finance BE2022775Yangzhou University KYCX24_3852
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAdvances in imaging technology have enhanced the detection of pulmonary nodules. However, determining malignancy often requires invasive procedures or repeated radiation exposure, underscoring the need for safer, noninvasive diagnostic alternatives. Analyzing exhaled volatile organic compounds (VOCs) shows promise, yet its effectiveness in assessing the malignancy of pulmonary nodules remains underexplored.

methodsEmploying a prospective study design from June 2023 to January 2024 at the Affiliated Hospital of Yangzhou University, we assessed the malignancy of pulmonary nodules using the Mayo Clinic model and collected exhaled breath samples alongside lifestyle and health examination data. We applied five machine learning (ML) algorithms to develop predictive models which were evaluated using area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and other relevant metrics.

resultsA total of 267 participants were enrolled, including 210 with low-risk and 57 with moderate-risk pulmonary nodules. Univariate analysis identified 11 exhaled VOCs associated with nodule malignancy, alongside two lifestyle factors (smoke index and sites of tobacco smoke inhalation) and one clinical metric (nodule diameter) as independent predictors for moderate-risk nodules. The logistic regression model integrating lifestyle and health data achieved an AUC of 0.91 (95% CI: 0.8611-0.9658), while the random forest model incorporating exhaled VOCs achieved an AUC of 0.99 (95% CI: 0.974-1.00). Calibration curves indicated strong concordance between predicted and observed risks. Decision curve analysis confirmed the net benefit of these models over traditional methods. A nomogram was developed to aid clinicians in assessing nodule malignancy based on VOCs, lifestyle, and health data.

conclusionsThe integration of ML algorithms with exhaled biomarkers and clinical data provides a robust framework for noninvasive assessment of pulmonary nodules. These models offer a safer alternative to traditional methods and may enhance early detection and management of pulmonary nodules. Further validation through larger, multicenter studies is necessary to establish their generalizability.

trial registrationNumber ChiCTR2400081283.

Indexed as

Breath TestsLung NeoplasmsVolatile Organic CompoundsAdultAgedBiomarkers, TumorDiagnosis, DifferentialExhalationFemaleHumansMachine LearningMaleMiddle AgedMultiple Pulmonary NodulesProspective StudiesSolitary Pulmonary NoduleBiomarkers, TumorVolatile Organic Compoundsbreath biomarkersmalignancy riskpulmonary nodulesvolatile organic compounds

Identifiers

PMID39777868
PMCPMC11706237

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.