Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39775871›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA2025

AI as an intervention: improving clinical outcomes relies on a causal approach to AI development and validation.

Shalmali Joshi, Iñigo Urteaga, Wouter A C van Amsterdam, George Hripcsak, Pierre Elias, Benjamin Recht, Noémie Elhadad, James Fackler, Mark P Sendak, Jenna Wiens and 10 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors.

Shalmali JoshiDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032, United States.
Iñigo UrteagaBCAM-Basque Center for Applied Mathematics, Bilbao 48009, Spain.
Wouter A C van AmsterdamJulius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht 3584 CX, The Netherlands.
George HripcsakDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032, United States.
Pierre EliasDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-9643-3024
Benjamin RechtDepartment of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720, United States.
Noémie ElhadadDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032, United States.
James FacklerDepartment of Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD 21287, United States.
Mark P SendakPopulation Health and Data Science, Duke Institute of Health Innovation, Durham, NC 27701, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-5828-4497
Jenna WiensDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, United States.
Kaivalya DeshpandeDepartment of Medicine, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY 10016, United States.
Yoav WaldCenter for Data Science, New York University, New York, NY 10011, United States.
Madalina FiterauCollege of Information and Computer Sciences, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Amherst, MA 01003, United States.
Zachary LiptonDepartment of Machine Learning, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213, United States.
Daniel MalinskyDepartment of Biostatistics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032, United States.
Madhur NayanDepartment of Population Health and Urology, NYU Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY 10016, United States.
Hongseok NamkoongDivision of Decisions, Risk, and Operations, Columbia Business School, New York, NY 10027, United States.
Soojin ParkDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032, United States.
Julia E VogtDepartment of Computer Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich 8092, Switzerland.
Rajesh RanganathCenter for Data Science, New York University, New York, NY 10011, United States.

Funding

Machine Learning for Healthcare
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The primary practice of healthcare artificial intelligence (AI) starts with model development, often using state-of-the-art AI, retrospectively evaluated using metrics lifted from the AI literature like AUROC and DICE score. However, good performance on these metrics may not translate to improved clinical outcomes. Instead, we argue for a better development pipeline constructed by working backward from the end goal of positively impacting clinically relevant outcomes using AI, leading to considerations of causality in model development and validation, and subsequently a better development pipeline. Healthcare AI should be "actionable," and the change in actions induced by AI should improve outcomes. Quantifying the effect of changes in actions on outcomes is causal inference. The development, evaluation, and validation of healthcare AI should therefore account for the causal effect of intervening with the AI on clinically relevant outcomes. Using a causal lens, we make recommendations for key stakeholders at various stages of the healthcare AI pipeline. Our recommendations aim to increase the positive impact of AI on clinical outcomes.

Indexed as

Artificial IntelligenceOutcome Assessment, Health CareHumansartificial intelligencecausal inferencehealthcare

Identifiers

PMID39775871
PMCPMC11833492

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.