Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39775197›Full record

ArticlePLoS computational biology2025

Aggregating multiple test results to improve medical decision-making.

Lucas Böttcher, Maria R D'Orsogna, Tom Chou

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS computational biology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Lucas BöttcherDepartment of Computational Science and Philosophy, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management, Frankfurt am Main, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-1700-1897
Maria R D'OrsognaDepartment of Mathematics, California State University at Northridge, Los Angeles, California, United States of America.
Tom ChouDepartment of Computational Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-0785-6349

Funding

NSF OAC-2320846
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Gathering observational data for medical decision-making often involves uncertainties arising from both type I (false positive) and type II (false negative) errors. In this work, we develop a statistical model to study how medical decision-making can be improved by aggregating results from repeated diagnostic and screening tests. Our approach is relevant to not only clinical settings such as medical imaging, but also to public health, as highlighted by the need for rapid, cost-effective testing methods during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. Our model enables the development of testing protocols with an arbitrary number of tests, which can be customized to meet requirements for type I and type II errors. This allows us to adjust sensitivity and specificity according to application-specific needs. Additionally, we derive generalized Rogan-Gladen estimates of disease prevalence that account for an arbitrary number of tests with potentially different type I and type II errors. We also provide the corresponding uncertainty quantification.

Indexed as

Clinical Decision-MakingCOVID-19COVID-19 TestingComputational BiologyHumansModels, StatisticalPandemicsSARS-CoV-2Sensitivity and SpecificityUncertainty

Identifiers

PMID39775197
PMCPMC11741652

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.