Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39775165›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Prediction of late-onset depression in the elderly Korean population using machine learning algorithms.

Jong Wan Park, Chang Woo Ko, Diane Youngmi Lee, Jae Chul Kim

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Jong Wan ParkDepartment of Counseling, Graduate School of Hannam University, 70 Hannam-ro, Daedeok- gu, Daejeon, 34430, South Korea.
Chang Woo KoDepartment of Biomedical Science, Seoul National University College of Medicine, 103 Daehak-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul, 03080, South Korea.
Diane Youngmi LeeDepartment of Art Therapy, Daegu Cyber University, 201 Daegudae-ro, Jillyang-eup, Gyeongsan, 38453, South Korea.
Jae Chul KimDepartment of Counseling, Graduate School of Hannam University, 70 Hannam-ro, Daedeok- gu, Daejeon, 34430, South Korea. jckim@hnu.kr.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Late-onset depression (LOD) refers to depression that newly appears in elderly individuals without prior depression episodes. Predicting future depression is crucial for mitigating the risk of major depression in prospective patients. This study aims to develop machine learning models to predict future depression. Using public data from the nationwide panel survey 'Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging,' we employed latent growth modeling and growth mixture modeling to identify four latent classes of depression trajectories in the elderly Korean population. Based on the results of binary logistic regression, we selected 12 variables capable of distinguishing the LOD population from the reference population and tested 12 machine learning (ML) algorithms. While most ML algorithms showed acceptable predictive capability, Random Forest Classifier and Gradient Boosting Classifier demonstrated superior performance. Consequently, we successfully established new ML-based LOD prediction programs. These programs could be further developed into self-checking online tools, expected to serve as decision support systems for primary medical care and health screening services.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsDepressionMachine LearningAgedAged, 80 and overAge of OnsetFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMajor Depressive DisorderMaleRepublic of KoreaDepression trajectoriesLate-onset depressionLongitudinal study of agingMachine learning algorithmsPredictive performance

Identifiers

PMID39775165
PMCPMC11707018

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.