Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39774508›Full record

Trial reportPloS one2025

Five year mortality in an RCT of a lung cancer biomarker to select people for low dose CT screening.

Francis Michael Sullivan, Frances S Mair, William Anderson, Cindy Chew, Alistair Dorward, John Haughney, Fiona Hogarth, Denise Kendrick, Roberta Littleford, Alex McConnachie and 13 more

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in PloS one, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Updates in Lung Cancer Screening: A Decade of Evidence.Seminars in respiratory and critical care medicine · 2025
    Review
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

23 authors.

Francis Michael SullivanUniversity of St Andrews, North Haugh, St Andrews, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-6623-4964
Frances S MairInstitute of Health & Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
William AndersonRespiratory Medicine, NHS Tayside, Dundee, United Kingdom.
Cindy ChewRadiology, NHS Lanarkshire, Bothwell, United Kingdom.
Alistair DorwardRespiratory Medicine, NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
John HaughneyGeneral Practice, NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Fiona HogarthTayside Clinical Trials Unit, University of Dundee, Dundee, United Kingdom.
Denise KendrickSchool of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom.
Roberta LittlefordCentre for Clinical Research, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia.
Alex McConnachieInstitute of Health & Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Colin McCowanUniversity of St Andrews, North Haugh, St Andrews, United Kingdom.
Nicola McMeekinInstitute of Health & Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-2918-8820
Manish PatelRespiratory Medicine, NHS Lanarkshire, Bothwell, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3012-7507
Petra RauchhausTayside Clinical Trials Unit, University of Dundee, Dundee, United Kingdom.
Fergus DalyUniversity of St Andrews, North Haugh, St Andrews, United Kingdom.
Lewis RitchieThe Institute of Applied Health Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, United Kingdom.
John RobertsonSchool of Medicine, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom.
Joseph SarvesvaranRespiratory Medicine, NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Herbert SewellSchool of Life Sciences, University of Nottingham, United Kingdom.
Thomas TaylorRadiology, NHS Tayside, Dundee, United Kingdom.
Shaun TreweekHealth Services Research Unit, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, United Kingdom.
Kavita VedharaSchool of Psychology, Cardiff University, Cardiff, United Kingdom.
Stuart SchembriRespiratory Medicine, NHS Tayside, Dundee, United Kingdom.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The role of biomarkers in risk-based early detection of lung cancer may enable screening to become cost effective and widely accessible. EarlyCDT-Lung is an example of such a blood-based autoantibody biomarker which may improve accessibility to Low dose Computed Tomography (LDCT) screening for those at highest risk. We randomized 12 208 individuals aged 50-75 at high risk of developing lung cancer to either the test or to standard clinical care. Outcomes were ascertained from Register of Deaths and Cancer Registry. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the hazard ratio of the rate of deaths from all causes and lung cancer. Additional analyses were performed for cases of lung cancer diagnosed within two years of the initial test. After 5 years 326 lung cancers were detected (2.7% of those enrolled). The total number of deaths reported from all causes in the intervention group was 344 compared to 388 in the control group. There were 73 lung cancer deaths in the intervention arm and 90 in the controls (Adjusted HR 0.789 (0.636, 0.978). An analysis of cases of lung cancer detected within 2 years of randomization in the intervention group showed that there were 34 deaths from all causes and 29 from lung cancer. In the control group there were 56 deaths with 49 from lung cancer. In those diagnosed with lung cancer within 2 years of randomization the hazard ratio for all cause mortality was 0.615 (0.401,0.942) and for lung cancer 0.598 (0.378, 0.946). Further large-scale studies of the role of biomarkers to target lung cancer screening, in addition to LDCT, are likely to provide additional value.

Indexed as

Biomarkers, TumorEarly Detection of CancerLung NeoplasmsTomography, X-Ray ComputedAgedFemaleHumansMaleMass ScreeningMiddle AgedProportional Hazards ModelsBiomarkers, Tumor

Identifiers

PMID39774508
PMCPMC11709295

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.