Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39774109›Full record

ArticleHepatology communications2024

Machine-learning methodologies to predict disease progression in chronic hepatitis B in Africa.

Hailemichael Desalegn, Xianchen Yang, Yi-Syuan Yen, Nega Berhe, Brooke Kenney, Geoffrey H Siwo, Weijing Tang, Ji Zhu, Akbar K Waljee, Asgeir Johannessen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Hepatology communications, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Hailemichael DesalegnMedical Department, St. Paul's Hospital Millennium Medical College, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.ORCID 0000-0003-2042-5797
Xianchen YangDepartment of Statistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Yi-Syuan YenDepartment of Statistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Nega BerheDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway.
Brooke KenneyMenelik II Medical and Health Science College, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Geoffrey H SiwoCenter for Global Health Equity, Michigan Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Weijing TangDepartment of Statistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Ji ZhuDepartment of Statistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Akbar K WaljeeCenter for Global Health Equity, Michigan Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.ORCID 0009-0009-5100-1867
Asgeir JohannessenDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Vestfold Hospital Trust, Tønsberg, Norway.ORCID 0000-0001-5966-7166

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLittle is known about the determinants of disease progression among African patients with chronic HBV infection.

methodsWe used machine-learning models with longitudinal data to establish predictive algorithms in a well-characterized cohort of Ethiopian HBV-infected patients without baseline liver fibrosis. Disease progression was defined as an increase in liver stiffness to >7.9 kPa or initiation of treatment based on meeting the eligibility criteria.

resultsTwenty-four of 551 patients (4.4%) experienced disease progression after a median follow-up time of 69 months. A random forest model based on a combination of available laboratory tests (standard hematology and biochemistry) demonstrated the best predictive properties with the AUROC ranging from 0.82 to 0.88.

conclusionWe conclude that combined metrics based on simple and available laboratory tests had good predictive properties and should be explored further in larger HBV cohorts.

Indexed as

Disease ProgressionHepatitis B, ChronicMachine LearningAdultAlgorithmsElasticity Imaging TechniquesEthiopiaFemaleHumansLiver CirrhosisLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of Tests

Identifiers

PMID39774109
PMCPMC11567701

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.