Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39773434›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2025

The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on HIV testing in Peru: an interrupted time series analysis from 2014 to 2022.

Robinson A Yrene-Cubas, Jesus Perez-Castilla, Daniel E Reynaga-Cottle, Maria José Bringas, David R Soriano-Moreno, Daniel Fernandez-Guzman, Jose A Gonzales-Zamora

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Robinson A Yrene-CubasCarrera de Medicina Humana, Universidad Científica del Sur, Carretera Panamericana Sur Km19, Distrito de Villa El Salvador, Lima, 15067, Peru.
Jesus Perez-CastillaEscuela Profesional de Medicina Humana, Universidad Nacional de San Antonio Abad del Cusco, Cusco, Peru.
Daniel E Reynaga-CottleCarrera de Medicina Humana, Universidad San Martín de Porres, Lima, Peru.
Maria José BringasCarrera de Medicina Humana, Universidad San Martín de Porres, Lima, Peru.
David R Soriano-MorenoUnidad de Investigación Clínica y Epidemiológica, Escuela de Medicina, Universidad Peruana Unión, Lima, Peru.
Daniel Fernandez-GuzmanCarrera de Medicina Humana, Universidad Científica del Sur, Carretera Panamericana Sur Km19, Distrito de Villa El Salvador, Lima, 15067, Peru. danferguz@gmail.com.
Jose A Gonzales-ZamoraDivision of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Miller School of Medicine, University of Miami, Miami, FL, 33136, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesOur objective was to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 on the proportion of past-year HIV testing in Peru.

methodsUtilizing data from the National Demographic and Health Survey of Peru from 2014 to 2022, we conducted an interrupted time series analysis. The proportion of past-year HIV testing per quarter of each year was considered our unit of analysis. Statistical analysis involved segmented regression with Newey-West standard errors, dividing each year of evaluation into four quarters. Additionally, we applied an Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model.

resultsWe included 211,359 participants aged 15 to 49 years. The proportion of past-year HIV testing in Peru showed a mean decrease of 8.33% (95%CI: -10.73% to -5.93%) after the COVID-19 lockdown (from August-2020) compared to the previous period (before March-2020). Prior to lockdown, there was a mean quarterly increase of 0.30% (95%CI: 0.21-0.40%) in testing proportion, while after the lockdown, there was a mean quarterly decrease of -0.24% (95%CI: -0.56-0.09%). HIV testing declined in 23 of the 25 regions, ranging from - 23.7% to -3.0%, except in Amazonas and Cajamarca, where increases of 5.3% and 6.8% were observed. Predictions of counterfactual values without the pandemic using the ARIMA model revealed a percentage drop of -9.20% (95%CI: -13.70 to -4.80) in observed compared to predicted values.

conclusionsThis study highlights the decrease in proportion of past-year HIV testing in Peru following the COVID-19 lockdown, emphasizing the urgent need for targeted interventions to address disparities and ensure equitable access to testing services.

Indexed as

COVID-19HIV InfectionsHIV TestingInterrupted Time Series AnalysisAdolescentAdultFemaleHumansMaleMass ScreeningMiddle AgedPandemicsPeruSARS-CoV-2Young AdultCOVID-19 impactHIV testingInterrupted time series analysisPeruSociodemographic disparities

Identifiers

PMID39773434
PMCPMC11707859

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.