ArticleJournal of the Royal Society, Interface2025
Optimizing contact tracing for avian influenza in poultry flocks.
Article in Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
3 citing papers in PubMed.
- A modelling assessment of the impact of control measures on highly pathogenic avian influenza transmission in poultry in Great Britain.PLoS computational biology · 2026Article
- Article
- Optimizing contact tracing for avian influenza in poultry flocks.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Contact tracing is commonly used to manage infectious diseases of both humans and animals. It aims to detect early and control potentially infected individuals or farms that had contact with infectious cases. Because it is very resource-intensive, contact tracing is usually performed on a pre-defined time window, based on previous knowledge of the duration of the incubation period. However, pre-defined time windows may not be always relevant, reducing the efficiency of contact tracing. In this study, we estimated the day when farms were first infected with highly pathogenic avian influenza viruses, a devastating pathogen causing severe socio-economic damage in domestic poultry. The estimation was performed by fitting a stochastic mechanistic model to observed daily mortality data from 63 infected poultry farms in France and The Netherlands, using approximate Bayesian computation. Independent of the poultry species or country, the estimates of the time of first infection ranged between 3.4 (95% credible interval-CrI: 2.6, 4.6) and 19.9 (95% CrI: 11.9, 31.3) days prior to the last observation. We developed an online application to provide real-time support to policymakers by estimating realistic ranges of dates of first infection to inform contact tracing and improve its efficiency.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.