Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39766073›Full record

ArticleCancers2024

Circulating Tumor DNA for Prediction of Complete Pathological Response to Neoadjuvant Radiochemotherapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer (NEORECT Trial).

Tatiana Mögele, Michael Höck, Florian Sommer, Lena Friedrich, Sebastian Sommer, Maximilian Schmutz, Amadeus Altenburger, Helmut Messmann, Matthias Anthuber, Thomas Kröncke and 5 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancers, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Practical integration of ctDNA-defined minimal residual disease in gastrointestinal cancers: testing windows and evidence-aligned management frameworks.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Tatiana MögelePathology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Augsburg, 86156 Augsburg, Germany.
Michael HöckRadiotherapy, Faculty of Medicine, University of Augsburg, 86156 Augsburg, Germany.
Florian SommerGeneral and Visceral Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, University of Augsburg, 86156 Augsburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-3242-3027
Lena FriedrichDiagnostic and Interventional Neuroradiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Augsburg, 86156 Augsburg, Germany.
Sebastian SommerHematology and Oncology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Augsburg, 86156 Augsburg, Germany.
Maximilian SchmutzBavarian Cancer Research Center (BZKF), Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-7453-7260
Amadeus AltenburgerDiagnostic and Interventional Neuroradiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Augsburg, 86156 Augsburg, Germany.
Helmut MessmannGastroenterology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Augsburg, 86156 Augsburg, Germany.
Matthias AnthuberGeneral and Visceral Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, University of Augsburg, 86156 Augsburg, Germany.
Thomas KrönckeDiagnostic and Interventional Neuroradiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Augsburg, 86156 Augsburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-4889-1036
Georg StübenRadiotherapy, Faculty of Medicine, University of Augsburg, 86156 Augsburg, Germany.
Martin TrepelBavarian Cancer Research Center (BZKF), Germany.
Bruno MärklPathology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Augsburg, 86156 Augsburg, Germany.
Sebastian DintnerPathology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Augsburg, 86156 Augsburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-0530-0673
Rainer ClausPathology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Augsburg, 86156 Augsburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-2617-8766

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

objectivesLocally advanced rectal cancer is treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) followed by total mesorectal excision (TME). As this approach achieves complete pathologic remissions (pCR) in approximately 30% of patients, it raises the question of whether surgery is always necessary. Non-surgical strategies, such as "watch and wait" (W&W), have shown similarly promising outcomes. However, there is an unmet need for reliable biomarkers predicting pCR. Analysis of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has shown potential for monitoring treatment response and detecting minimal residual disease. We hypothesized that monitoring ctDNA changes during nCRT might facilitate the identification of individuals who achieve pCR.

methodsIn the prospective single-center NEORECT trial, the plasma of forty rectal cancer patients was collected before, during, and after nCRT and before TME. Informative somatic mutations were identified in tissue biopsies by NGS and subsequently used for ctDNA quantification by dPCR.

resultsThe results identified three distinct ctDNA patterns: increase, decrease, and absence. Remarkably, undetectable DNA was observed in good responders, while a tenfold ctDNA increase was associated with the emergence of new metastases. Despite these insights, ctDNA alone demonstrated low specificity, with no significant correlation to pCR or long-term prognosis. A multimodal approach incorporating routinely available clinical parameters remains inadequate for accurately predicting pCR prior to TME.

conclusionsIn conclusion, the NEORECT trial establishes the feasibility of ctDNA-based personalized monitoring for rectal cancer patients undergoing nCRT. However, the utility of ctDNA in enhancing pCR prediction for a W&W strategy warrants further investigation. Larger studies integrating multi-gene analyses and expanded clinical datasets are essential in the future.

Indexed as

circulating tumor DNAcomplete pathological responseneoadjuvant radiochemotherapyrectal cancerresponse prediction

Identifiers

PMID39766073
PMCPMC11674684

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.