Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39764879›Full record

ArticleHealth & place2025

A multi-constraint Monte Carlo Simulation approach to downscaling cancer data.

Lingbo Liu, Lauren Cowan, Fahui Wang, Tracy Onega

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Health & place, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Lingbo LiuCenter for Geographic Analysis, Harvard University, MA, 02138, USA.
Lauren CowanDepartment of Population Health Sciences, University of Utah, Huntsman Cancer Institute, Salt Lake City, UT, 84112, USA.
Fahui WangDepartment of Geography and Anthropology, Louisiana State University, LA, 70803, USA. Electronic address: fwang@lsu.edu.
Tracy OnegaDepartment of Population Health Sciences, University of Utah, Huntsman Cancer Institute, Salt Lake City, UT, 84112, USA. Electronic address: Tracy.Onega@hci.utah.edu.

Funding

Access, Utilization and Outcomes of Cancer Services in the Era of TelemedicineR01CA267990 · NCI · UTAH STATE HIGHER EDUCATION SYSTEM--UNIVERSITY OF UTAH · PI Tracy Onega, Fahui Wang · 2022 to 2026
$1.8M
NCI NIH HHS HHSN261201800016CNCI NIH HHS HHSN261201800016INCI NIH HHS R01 CA267990
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study employs an innovative multi-constraint Monte Carlo simulation method to estimate suppressed county-level cancer counts for population subgroups and extend the downscaling from county to ZIP Code Tabulation Areas (ZCTA) in the U.S. Given the known cancer counts at a higher geographic level and larger demographic groups at the same geographic level as constraints, this method uses the population structure as probability in the Monte Carlo simulation process to estimate suppressed data entries. It not only ensures consistency across various data levels but also accounts for demographic structure that drives varying cancer risks. The 2016-2020 cancer incidence data from the Utah Cancer Registry is used to validate our approach. The method yields results with high precision and consistency across the full urban-rural continuum, and significantly outperforms several machine-learning models such as Random Forest and Extreme Gradient Boosting.

Indexed as

Monte Carlo MethodNeoplasmsHumansIncidenceMachine LearningRegistriesUtahCancer data suppressionGeo-imputationMulti-constraint Monte Carlo simulation methodPopulation downscalingSpatial data interpolation

Identifiers

PMID39764879
PMCPMC11788035

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.