ArticleFrontiers in public health2024
Projecting temperature-related dengue burden in the Philippines under various socioeconomic pathway scenarios.
Article in Frontiers in public health, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed.
- Article
- Can innovation strengthen resilient, just and sustainable health systems in disaster-prone settings? Insights from HSR2024.Health policy and planning · 2026Article
- Biobanking of vector-borne viruses in the Philippines: basic principles, best practices, and challenges.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Spatiotemporal clusters and dengue hotspots in the Philippines: a nationwide analysis spanning 2017-2024.Frontiers in public health · 2026Article
- Epidemiological Trends and Predictive Modeling of Dengue Fever in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Countries.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2025Article
- Review of selected mosquito-borne diseases: arboviruses (dengue, chikungunya, Zika, West Nile, Japanese encephalitis, yellow fever) and parasitic diseases (malaria, lymphatic Filariasis).Frontiers in public health · 2025Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
6 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Introduction: As climate change advances, the looming threat of dengue fever, intricately tied to rising temperatures, intensifies, posing a substantial and enduring public health challenge in the Philippines. This study aims to investigate the historical and projected excess dengue disease burden attributable to temperature to help inform climate change policies, and guide resource allocation for strategic climate change and dengue disease interventions. Methods: The study utilized established temperature-dengue risk functions to estimate the historical dengue burden attributable to increased temperatures. Future projections were derived using Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios to estimate the excess dengue burden on a national scale. Current health burden estimates were calculated by charting the attributable fraction per epidemiological week against the exponential risk function. Results: Projections indicate a substantial increase in temperature-related dengue incidence across all SSP climate scenarios by 2100. Between 2010-2019, 72.1% of reported dengue cases in the Philippines were attributable to temperature, demonstrating that temperature is a significant driver in dengue transmission. The highest attributable fractions were observed between the warm-dry season to early rainy season (Epi Weeks 15-25). Southern, periequatorial areas, particularly those undergoing rapid urbanization, had the highest temperature-related dengue incidence. Discussion: The findings emphasize the critical interplay between climate change and socioeconomic factors in shaping future dengue risk. By incorporating future climate scenarios and provincial-level projections, this study provides valuable insights for policy planning, early warning systems, and public health programming. Strengthening health infrastructure, promoting sustainable urban development, and implementing effective vector control measures are crucial to mitigating the future dengue burden in the Philippines.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.