Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39763239›Full record

ArticleEpidemiology and infection2025

The 2023 fatal dengue outbreak in Bangladesh highlights a paradigm shift of geographical distribution of cases.

Mohammad Nayeem Hasan, Mahbubur Rahman, Meraj Uddin, Shah Ali Akbar Ashrafi, Kazi Mizanur Rahman, Kishor Kumar Paul, Mohammad Ferdous Rahman Sarker, Farhana Haque, Avinash Sharma, Danai Papakonstantinou and 4 more

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In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology and infection, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Mohammad Nayeem HasanDepartment of Statistics, Shahjalal University of Science and Technology, Sylhet, Bangladesh.ORCID 0000-0002-2383-0459
Mahbubur RahmanInstitute of Epidemiology, Disease Control and Research (IEDCR), Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Meraj UddinBirmingham City University, Birmingham, UK.
Shah Ali Akbar AshrafiManagement Information System, Directorate General of Health Service (DGHS), Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Kazi Mizanur RahmanFaculty of Health Sciences and Medicine, Bond University, Robina, QLD, Australia.
Kishor Kumar PaulThe Kirby Institute, University of New South Wales, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Mohammad Ferdous Rahman SarkerInstitute of Epidemiology, Disease Control and Research (IEDCR), Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Farhana HaqueUK Public Health Rapid Support Team (UK PHRST), Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Dynamics, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), London, UK.
Avinash SharmaBRIC-National Centre for Cell Science, Pune, India.
Danai PapakonstantinouSchool of Medicine, Keele University, Keele, Staffordshire, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1629-6937
Priyamvada PaudyalInstitute for Global Health and Wellbeing, School of Medicine, Keele University, Keele, Staffordshire, UK.
Md AsaduzzamanDepartment of Engineering, University of Staffordshire, Stoke-on-Trent, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8885-6721
Alimuddin ZumlaDivision of Infection and Immunity, Centre for Clinical Microbiology, University College London and NIHR-BRC, University College London Hospitals, London, UK.
Najmul HaiderSchool of Life Sciences, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Keele University, Keele, Staffordshire, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-5980-3460

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In 2023, Bangladesh experienced its largest and deadliest outbreak of the Dengue virus (DENV), reporting the highest-ever recorded annual cases and deaths. Historically, most of the cases were recorded in the capital city, Dhaka. We aimed to characterize the geographical transmission of DENV in Bangladesh. From 1 January-31 December 2023, we extracted and analyzed daily data on dengue cases and deaths from the Management Information System of the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare. We performed a generalized linear mixed model to identify the associations between division-wise daily dengue counts and various geographical and meteorological covariates. The number of dengue cases reported in 2023 was 1.3 times higher than the total number recorded in the past 23 years (321,179 vs. 244,246), with twice as many deaths than the total fatalities recorded over the past 23 years (1705 vs. 849). Of the 1,705 deaths in 2023, 67.4% (

Indexed as

DengueDisease OutbreaksBangladeshFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleBangladeshdengue outbreakgeographical shiftmeteorological factors

Identifiers

PMID39763239
PMCPMC11704938

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.