Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39762298›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Rapid climate action is needed: comparing heat vs. COVID-19-related mortality.

Fulden Batibeniz, Sonia I Seneviratne, Srinidhi Jha, Andreia Ribeiro, Laura Suarez Gutierrez, Christoph C Raible, Avni Malhotra, Ben Armstrong, Michelle L Bell, Eric Lavigne and 10 more

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors.

Fulden BatibenizDepartment of Environmental Systems Science, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland. fulden.batibeniz@env.ethz.ch.
Sonia I SeneviratneDepartment of Environmental Systems Science, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland. sonia.seneviratne@ethz.ch.
Srinidhi JhaDepartment of Environmental Systems Science, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Andreia RibeiroDepartment of Environmental Systems Science, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Laura Suarez GutierrezDepartment of Environmental Systems Science, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland.
Christoph C RaibleOeschger Centre for Climate Change Research (OCCR), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Avni MalhotraBiological Sciences Division, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA.
Ben ArmstrongDepartment of Public Health Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Michelle L BellSchool of the Environment, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.
Eric LavigneFaculty of Medicine, School of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Canada.
Antonio GasparriniEnvironment and Health Modelling (EHM) Lab, Department of Public Health Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Yuming GuoDepartment of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Masahiro HashizumeDepartment of Global Health Policy, Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan.
Pierre MasselotEnvironment and Health Modelling (EHM) Lab, Department of Public Health Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Susana Pereira da SilvaDepartment of Epidemiology, Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr. Ricardo Jorge, Lisbon, Portugal.
Dominic RoyéClimate Research Foundation (FIC), Madrid, Spain.
Francesco SeraDepartment of Statistics, Computer Science and Applications "G. Parenti", University of Florence, Florence, Italy.
Shilu TongChinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, National Institute of Environmental Health, Beijing, China.
Aleš UrbanInstitute of Atmospheric Physics, Czech Academy of Sciences, Prague, Czech Republic.
Ana M Vicedo-CabreraOeschger Centre for Climate Change Research (OCCR), University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland. anamaria.vicedo@unibe.ch.

Funding

HORIZON EUROPE Marie Sklodowska-Curie Actions 101064940Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung TMSGI3_211626
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The impacts of climate change on human health are often underestimated or perceived to be in a distant future. Here, we present the projected impacts of climate change in the context of COVID-19, a recent human health catastrophe. We compared projected heat mortality with COVID-19 deaths in 38 cities worldwide and found that in half of these cities, heat-related deaths could exceed annual COVID-19 deaths in less than ten years (at + 3.0 °C increase in global warming relative to preindustrial). In seven of these cities, heat mortality could exceed COVID-19 deaths in less than five years. Our results underscore the crucial need for climate action and for the integration of climate change into public health discourse and policy.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeCOVID-19Hot TemperatureSARS-CoV-2CitiesHumansPublic Health

Identifiers

PMID39762298
PMCPMC11704295

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.