Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39762056›Full record

ArticleBMJ open quality2025

Validation of the REDS score in hospitalised patients who deteriorated and were admitted to the intensive care unit-a retrospective cohort study.

Narani Sivayoham, Harriet O'Mara, Natasha Trenchard Turner, Katie Sysum, Georgina Wicks, Oliver Mason

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open quality, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Narani SivayohamDepartment of Emergency Medicine, St George's University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK Narani.Sivayoham@stgeorges.nhs.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1816-9472
Harriet O'MaraDepartment of Intensive Care Medicine, St George's University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Natasha Trenchard TurnerDepartment of Intensive Care Medicine, St George's University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Katie SysumDepartment of Intensive Care Medicine, St George's University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Georgina WicksDepartment of Intensive Care Medicine, St George's University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Oliver MasonDepartment of Emergency Medicine, St George's University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHospitalised patients are at risk of deterioration and death. Delayed identification and transfer to the intensive care unit (ICU) are known to be associated with increased mortality rates. The Risk-stratification of Emergency Department suspected Sepsis (REDS) score was derived and validated in emergency department patients with suspected sepsis. It is unknown if the REDS score would risk-stratify undifferentiated hospitalised patients who deteriorate.

objectivesTo validate the REDS score in hospitalised patients who deteriorate.

methodsThis retrospective cohort single-centre study involved hospitalised adult patients who deteriorated and were transferred to the ICU between 1 April 2022 and 31 March 2023. The first admission to the ICU was studied. The National Early Warning Score2 (NEWS2), REDS, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and change-in-SOFA (ΔSOFA) scores were calculated at the time of referral to the Critical Care Outreach Team (CCOT). The primary outcome measure was in-hospital all-cause mortality. The area under the receiver operator characteristic (AUROC) curves for the scores were compared. Test characteristics at the cut-off points individually and in combination were noted.

resultsOf the 289 patients studied, 91 died. The REDS score had the largest AUROC curve at 0.70 (95% CI 0.65 to 0.75), greater than the NEWS2 score at 0.62 (95% CI 0.56 to 0.68), p=0.03, and similar to the SOFA score 0.67 (95% CI 0.61 to 0.72), p=0.3. The cut-off points for the NEWS2, REDS, SOFA and ΔSOFA scores were >9, >3, >6 and >4, respectively. The sensitivity and specificity for a ΔSOFA≥2 was 91.2% (95% CI 83.4 to 96.1) and 15.7% (95% CI 10.9 to 21.5), respectively. REDS≥4 or NEWS2≥7 had a sensitivity of 87.9% (95% CI 79.4 to 93.8) and specificity of 29.3% (95% CI 23.1 to 36.2).

conclusionThe prognostic performance of the REDS score was similar to the SOFA score, but greater than the NEWS2 score. The REDS score could be used in addition to the established NEWS2 score to risk-stratify hospitalised patients for mortality.

Indexed as

Hospital MortalityIntensive Care UnitsAgedAged, 80 and overCohort StudiesEarly Warning ScoreEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleHospitalizationHumansMaleMiddle AgedOrgan Dysfunction ScoresRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentROC CurveCritical careDecision makingDecision support, clinicalHospital medicineTrigger tools

Identifiers

PMID39762056
PMCPMC11784166

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.