Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39761415›Full record

ArticleDiabetes care2025

Plasma Lipid Metabolites, Clinical Glycemic Predictors, and Incident Type 2 Diabetes.

Arjana Begzati, Karla P Godinez-Macias, Tao Long, Jeramie D Watrous, Rafael Moranchel, Edward D Kantz, Jaakko Tuomilehto, Aki S Havulinna, Teemu J Niiranen, Pekka Jousilahti and 12 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetes care, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Efficacy and mechanisms ofFrontiers in pharmacology · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors.

Arjana BegzatiDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.ORCID 0000-0002-8770-8022
Karla P Godinez-MaciasDepartment of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Tao LongDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Jeramie D WatrousDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Rafael MoranchelDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Edward D KantzDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Jaakko TuomilehtoDepartment of Public Health, Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.
Aki S HavulinnaDepartment of Public Health, Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.
Teemu J NiiranenDepartment of Public Health, Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.
Pekka JousilahtiDepartment of Public Health, Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.
Veikko SalomaaDepartment of Public Health, Finnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.
Bing YuDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Texas School of Public Health, Houston, TX.
Faye NorbyDivision of Epidemiology and Community Health, University of Minnesota School of Public Health, Minneapolis, MN.ORCID 0000-0002-1975-0405
Casey M RebholzDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD.ORCID 0000-0002-5442-8745
Elizabeth SelvinDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD.ORCID 0000-0001-6923-7151
Elizabeth A WinzelerDepartment of Pediatrics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Susan ChengSmidt Heart Institute, Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA.
Mona AlotaibiDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Ravi GoyalDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Trey IdekerDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Mohit JainDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.
Amit R MajithiaDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA.ORCID 0000-0001-9978-2644

Funding

THE ATHEROSCLEROSIS RISK IN COMMUNITIES (ARIC) STUDY - COORDINATING CENTER - TASK AREA B.2 AND B.375N92022D00001 · NHLBI · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI COUPER, DAVID · 2022 to 2025
$13.7M
THE ATHEROSCLEROSIS RISK IN COMMUNITIES (ARIC) STUDY - FIELD CENTER - TASK ORDER 01, TASK AREA A75N92022D00003 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI LUTSEY, PAMELA L. · 2022 to 2025
$5.1M
THE ATHEROSCLEROSIS RISK IN COMMUNITIES (ARIC) STUDY - FIELD CENTER - TASK ORDER 01, TASK AREA A75N92022D00005 · NHLBI · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI WAGENKNECHT, LYNNE E · 2022 to 2025
$5.0M
THE ATHEROSCLEROSIS RISK IN COMMUNITIES (ARIC) STUDY - FIELD CENTER - TASK ORDER 01, TASK AREA A75N92022D00004 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MISSISSIPPI MED CTR · PI WINDHAM, BEVERLY GWEN · 2022 to 2025
$4.8M
THE ATHEROSCLEROSIS RISK IN COMMUNITIES (ARIC) STUDY - FIELD CENTER - TASK ORDER 01, TASK AREA A75N92022D00002 · NHLBI · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI CORESH, JOSEF · 2022 to 2025
$4.7M
The role of gut microbes and microbial derived metabolites in the development of type 2 diabetes in humansR01DK129840 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN DIEGO · PI MAJITHIA, AMIT · 2021 to 2025
$3.2M
NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92022D00001NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92022D00002NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92022D00003NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92022D00004NHLBI NIH HHS 75N92022D00005NIDDK NIH HHS 5R01DK129840NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK129840
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivePlasma metabolite profiling has uncovered several nonglycemic markers of incident type 2 diabetes (T2D). We investigated whether such biomarkers provide information about specific aspects of T2D etiology, such as impaired fasting glucose and impaired glucose tolerance, and whether their association with T2D risk varies by race. RESEARCH DESIGN AND

methodsUntargeted plasma metabolite profiling was performed of participants in the FINRISK 2002 cohort (n = 7,564). Cox regression modeling was conducted to identify metabolites associated with incident T2D during 14 years of follow-up. Metabolites were clustered into pathways using Gaussian graphical modeling. Clusters enriched for T2D biomarkers were further examined for covariation with fasting plasma glucose (FPG), 2-h postchallenge plasma glucose (2hPG), HbA1c, or fasting insulin. Validation analyses and tests of interaction with race were performed in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study.

resultsTwo clusters of metabolites, representing diacylglycerols (DAGs) and phosphatidylcholines (PCs), contained the largest number of metabolite associations with incident T2D. DAGs associated with increased T2D incidence (hazard ratio [HR] 1.22; 95% CI 1.14-1.30) independent of FPG, HbA1c, and fasting insulin, but not 2hPG. PCs were inversely associated with T2D risk (HR 0.78; 95% CI 0.71-0.85) independent of FPG, 2hPG, HbA1c, and fasting insulin. No significant interaction between DAGs or PCs and race was observed.

conclusionsFasting DAGs may capture information regarding T2D risk similar to that represented by 2hPG; PCs may capture aspects of T2D etiology that differ from those represented by conventional biomarkers. The direction of effect and strength of DAG and PC associations with incident T2D are similar across European and African Americans.

Indexed as

Blood GlucoseDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2LipidsAgedBiomarkersFemaleGlycated HemoglobinHumansMaleMiddle AgedBiomarkersBlood GlucoseGlycated HemoglobinLipids

Identifiers

PMID39761415
PMCPMC11870283

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.