Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39753969›Full record

Observational studyNature medicine2025

Effects of conditional cash transfers on tuberculosis incidence and mortality according to race, ethnicity and socioeconomic factors in the 100 Million Brazilian Cohort.

Gabriela S Jesus, Priscila F P S Gestal, Andrea F Silva, Daniella M Cavalcanti, Iracema Lua, Maria Yury Ichihara, Mauricio L Barreto, Delia Boccia, Mauro N Sanchez, Davide Rasella

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Nature medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Record linkage in tuberculosis epidemiological surveillance in Brazil: systematic methodological literature review.Revista brasileira de epidemiologia = Brazilian journal of epidemiology · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Gabriela S Jesus *Faculty of Medicine, Federal University of Bahia (UFBA), Salvador, Brazil.
Priscila F P S Gestal *Institute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia (ISC/UFBA), Salvador, Brazil.
Andrea F SilvaInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia (ISC/UFBA), Salvador, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4345-9797
Daniella M CavalcantiInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia (ISC/UFBA), Salvador, Brazil.
Iracema LuaDepartment of Health, State University of Feira de Santana (UEFS), Feira de Santana, Brazil.
Maria Yury IchiharaThe Center for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (FIOCRUZ), Salvador, Brazil.
Mauricio L BarretoInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia (ISC/UFBA), Salvador, Brazil.
Delia BocciaFaculty of Population and Health Policy, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM), London, UK.
Mauro N SanchezThe Center for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (FIOCRUZ), Salvador, Brazil.
Davide RasellaInstitute of Collective Health, Federal University of Bahia (ISC/UFBA), Salvador, Brazil. davide.rasella@isglobal.org.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7260-4386

Funding

The impact of social determinants, conditional cash transfers and primary health care on HIV/AIDS: an integrated retrospective and forecasting approach based on a cohort of 100 million BraziliansR01AI152938 · NIAID · FEDERAL UNIVERSITY OF BAHIA · PI RASELLA, DAVIDE · 2020 to 2024
$2.0M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI152938U.S. Department of Health & Human Services | NIH | National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) 1R01AI152938Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust (Wellcome) 109949/Z/15/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Conditional cash transfer (CCT) programs have been implemented globally to alleviate poverty. Although tuberculosis (TB) is closely linked to poverty, the effects of CCT on TB outcomes among populations facing social and economic vulnerabilities remain uncertain. Here we estimated the associations between participation in the world's largest CCT program, the Brazilian Bolsa Família Program (BFP), and the reduction of TB incidence, mortality and case-fatality rates using the nationwide 100 Million Brazilian Cohort between 2004 and 2015. We also evaluated these relationships according to race, ethnicity, wealth levels, sex and age. Exposure to the BFP was associated with a large reduction in TB incidence (adjusted rate ratio (aRR): 0.59; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.58-0.60) and mortality (aRR: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.65-0.73). The strongest BFP association was observed in individuals of Indigenous ethnicity both for TB incidence (aRR: 0.37; 95% CI: 0.32-0.42) and mortality (aRR: 0.35; 95% CI: 0.20-0.62), and in individuals of Black and Pardo ethnicity (incidence-aRR: 0.58; 95% CI: 0.57-0.59; mortality-aRR: 0.69; 95% CI: 0.64-0.73). BFP associations were considerably stronger among individuals living in extreme poverty both for TB incidence (aRR: 0.49; 95% CI: 0.49-0.50) and mortality (aRR: 0.60; 95% CI: 0.55-0.65). CCT can strongly reduce TB incidence and mortality in individuals living in extreme poverty, and of Indigenous, Black and Pardo ethnicity, and could significantly contribute to achieving the End TB Strategy targets and TB-related Sustainable Development Goals.

Indexed as

EthnicityRacial GroupsSouth American PeopleTuberculosisAdolescentAdultBrazilCohort StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPovertySocioeconomic FactorsYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID39753969
PMCPMC11835739

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.