Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39750735›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2025

Development of a Reference Standard to Assign Bacterial Versus Viral Infection Etiology Using an All-inclusive Methodology for Comparison of Novel Diagnostic Tool Performance.

Coburn Allen, J Kate Deanehan, Yaniv Dotan, Matthew A Eisenberg, Andrew M Fine, Jonathan Isenberg, Ann Kane, Dani Kirshner, Todd W Lyons, Yasmin Maor and 13 more

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Reframing molecular superiority in the differential diagnosis of eczema and psoriasis.Journal of the European Academy of Dermatology and Venereology : JEADV · 2026
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  4. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

23 authors.

Coburn AllenDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Texas at Austin Dell Medical School, Austin, Texas, USA.
J Kate DeanehanDepartment of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, John's Hopkins Children's Center, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Yaniv DotanInstitute of Pulmonology, Rambam Health Care Campus, Haifa, Israel.ORCID 0000-0003-2421-4479
Matthew A EisenbergDivision of Emergency Medicine, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2937-2222
Andrew M FineDivision of Emergency Medicine, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Jonathan IsenbergDepartment of Internal Medicine H, Rambam Health Care Campus, Haifa, Israel.
Ann KaneDepartment of Pediatric Emergency Medicine, John's Hopkins Children's Center, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8709-1173
Dani KirshnerGeriatric unit, Clalit Health Services, Haifa, Israel.
Todd W LyonsDivision of Emergency Medicine, Boston Children's Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Yasmin MaorInfectious Disease Unit, E. Wolfson Medical Center, Holon, Israel.ORCID 0000-0001-7258-3434
Ami NeubergerThe Ruth and Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, The Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel.ORCID 0009-0002-4113-5326
Daniel G OstermayerDepartment of Emergency Medicine, McGovern Medical School, UTHealth, Houston, Texas, USA.
Sharona PazMaccabi Health Care Services, Israel.
Oded ScheuermanDepartment of Pediatrics B, Schneider Children's Medical Center of Israel, Petah Tikva, Israel.
Shachaf ShiberFaculty of Medical and Health Sciences, Tel Aviv university, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Victoria A StatlerDepartment of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Norton Children's and University of Louisville School of Medicine, Louisville, Kentucky, USA.
Michal SteinFaculty of Medical and Health Sciences, Tel Aviv university, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Renata YakubovThe Ruth and Bruce Rappaport Faculty of Medicine, The Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel.
Shirly YanaiDepartment of Internal Medicine, Rabin Medical Center, Petah Tikvah, Israel.
Roy NavonMeMed, Tirat Carmel, Israel.ORCID 0000-0001-7738-6915
Lior KellermanMeMed, Tirat Carmel, Israel.
Tanya M GottliebMeMed, Tirat Carmel, Israel.ORCID 0000-0002-5263-1707
Eran EdenMeMed, Tirat Carmel, Israel.

Funding

European CommissionHorizon2020-FTIPilot-2015-1 program 701088
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDiagnostic test evaluation requires a reference standard. We describe an approach for creating a reference standard for acute infection using unrestricted adjudication and apply it to compare biomarker tools.

methodsAdults and children with suspected acute infection enrolled in three prospective studies at emergency departments and urgent cares were included. Adjudicators, blinded to C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, and MeMed BV (MMBV), labeled each case (bacterial/viral/non-infectious/indeterminate). Initial adjudication involved 3 adjudicators. Reference standard cohorts were defined: Microbiologically confirmed (3/3 adjudicators concur with high confidence and a concordant microbiological finding), unanimous (3/3 adjudicators concur with high confidence), suspected (3/3 adjudicators concur with high/moderate confidence or 2/3 adjudicators concur with high confidence), and all-inclusive (remaining unlabeled cases were reviewed by up to 7 additional adjudicators until reaching a leading label).

resultsAmong 1016 patients, 156 difficult-to-diagnose cases required over 3 adjudicators. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve in the microbiologically confirmed (n = 427), unanimous (n = 565), suspected (n = 860), and all-inclusive (n = 1016) cohorts for MMBV were 0.98 (95% confidence interval .94-1.00), 0.98 (.95-1.00), 0.95 (.92-.98) and 0.90 (.87-.93), respectively, and for procalcitonin were 0.69 (.57-.81), 0.77 (.68-.86), 0.74 (.68-.80) and 0.70 (.65-.75), respectively. A delta in performance between MMBV and procalcitonin was maintained across the different cohorts.

conclusionsCreating a reference standard that includes difficult-to-diagnose cases demands an approach to addressing diagnostic uncertainty in acute infections. Tool performance depends on the reference standard applied and decreases as the difficulty to diagnose increases, highlighting the importance of using the same reference standard when comparing tools.

Indexed as

Bacterial InfectionsDiagnostic Tests, RoutineVirus DiseasesAdolescentAdultAgedBiomarkersChildChild, PreschoolC-Reactive ProteinEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleHumansInfantMaleMiddle AgedBiomarkersC-Reactive ProteinProcalcitoninadjudication-based reference standarddiagnostic performancediagnostic tooldifficult-to-diagnose casesinfection etiology

Identifiers

PMID39750735
PMCPMC12043069

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.