Evidence map›Paper›PMID 39747006›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

Asynchronicity of deglacial permafrost thawing controlled by millennial-scale climate variability.

Xinwei Yan, Xu Zhang, Bo Liu, Huw T Mithan, John Hellstrom, Sophie Nuber, Russell Drysdale, Junjie Wu, Fangyuan Lin, Ning Zhao and 3 more

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Xinwei Yan *College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3413-6048
Xu Zhang *British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, CB3 0ET, United Kingdom. xuang@bas.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1833-9689
Bo LiuPlateau Atmosphere and Environment Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu, China.
Huw T MithanDepartment of Earth and Space Sciences, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2960-2078
John HellstromSchool of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, 3010, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9427-3525
Sophie NuberSchool of Oceanography, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5141-361X
Russell DrysdaleSchool of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, 3010, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7867-031X
Junjie WuDepartment of Environmental Science, Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, 10691, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7618-6989
Fangyuan LinState Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi'an, 710061, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0006-1644-2737
Ning ZhaoState Key Laboratory of Estuarine and Coastal Research and Institute of Eco-Chongming, East China Normal University, Shanghai, 200241, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1936-8978
Yuao ZhangState Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System, Resources and Environment (TPESRE), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China.
Wengang KangState Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System, Resources and Environment (TPESRE), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China.
Jianbao LiuCollege of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China. liujb@pku.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7970-5449

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 42225105
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Permafrost is a potentially important source of deglacial carbon release alongside deep-sea carbon outgassing. However, limited proxies have restricted our understanding in circumarctic regions and the last deglaciation. Tibetan Plateau (TP), the Earth's largest low-latitude and alpine permafrost region, remains underexplored. Using speleothem growth phases, we reconstruct TP permafrost thawing history over the last 500,000 years, standardizing chronology to investigate Northern Hemisphere permafrost thawing patterns. We find that, unlike circumarctic permafrost, TP permafrost generally initiates thawing at the onset of deglaciations, coinciding with Weak Monsoon Intervals and sluggish Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) during Terminal Stadials. Modeling elaborates that the associated Asian monsoon weakening induces anomalous TP warming through local cloud-precipitation-soil moisture feedback. This, combined with high-latitude cooling, results in asynchronous boreal permafrost thawing. During the last deglaciation, however, anomalous AMOC variability delayed TP and advanced circumarctic permafrost thawing. Our results indicate that permafrost carbon release, influenced by millennial-scale AMOC variability, may have been a non-trivial contributor to deglacial CO

Identifiers

PMID39747006
PMCPMC11697416

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.